USA vs Trinidad & Tobago Odds, Pick, Prediction | Gold Cup Preview

USA vs Trinidad & Tobago Odds, Pick, Prediction | Gold Cup Preview article feature image

Daniel Bartel/Getty. Pictured: USA soccer.

USA vs Trinidad & Tobago Odds

USA Odds-800
Trinidad & Tobago Odds+2000
Over/Under3.5 (-111 / -105)
Day | TimeSunday | 7 p.m. ET
How To WatchFOX
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.

The U.S. men's national team will try to secure their spot in the next round of the CONCACAF Gold Cup — and hopefully the top spot in Group A — when they play Trinidad and Tobago in the Group A finale on Sunday.

They enters match day 3 even on points with Jamaica and three goals in front on the first tiebreak of goal difference. A draw against T&T will guarantee passage from the group, but depending on how Jamaica fair against Saint Kitts and Nevis, it will likely take a victory and potentially a large victory to secure that top spot. Doing so would likely avoid the possibility of meeting Mexico before the final.

Trinidad and Tobago are also still alive to move on, though they would need a massive upset victory over the Americans or a draw combined with a massive upset loss by Jamaica.

The Soca Warriors famously upset the United States 2-1 in November of 2017 to ruin the Yanks' 2018 World Cup Qualifying bid. But the USMNT have beaten T&T twice since then, 6-0 in the Gold Cup four years ago and 7-0 in a 2021 friendly.

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USA Riding Positive Momentum Into Group Finale

The Americans have the luxury of coming into this game on the heels of a 6-0 win over St. Kitts and Nevis, in which manager B.J. Callaghan fielded a squad with seven lineup changes from the 1-1 group-opening draw against Jamaica.

Among the new faces in the lineup, the biggest revelation may have been Djordje Mihailovic, who scored twice and assisted two more goals in the Americans' romp. Jesus Ferreira continued his domination against CONCACAF lightweights with his second career hat trick at the international level.

The question is whether Callaghan will revert to a lineup similar to what he deployed against Jamaica or perhaps unleash a third look for the group finale. There has been some thought Brandon Vazquez could eventually earn a start after scoring the leveler in the opener, which would move Ferreira out wide.

But that didn't materialize on match day 2, and when Vazquez did come on he was wasteful with his chances to help extend the Americans' lead.

The Yanks could again be shorthanded again in defense after center backs Aaron Long and Miles Robinson both missed Wednesday's group match.

Trinidad Haven't Looked Threatening Thus Far

The Soca Warriors are the most-recent Caribbean nation to reach the World Cup Finals, having gone to Germany in 2006 and earned a scoreless draw against Sweden in their group finale. But unlike Jamaica, 17 years later it still feels like Trinidad and Tobago could be closer to their last appearance than their next one.

A nation that once claimed Dwight Yorke and Stern John has no obvious center forward on the current squad.

AEK Athens winger Levi Garcia has started in the role in the first two matches — and scored a consolation goal in a 4-1 loss to Jamaica — but he's really more of a right-sided attacking player. The same could be said of the Columbus Crew's Kevin Molino, who often takes central attacking midfield duties for his national team.

That said, T&T have scored in both their group matches so far. It's the first time they've scored multiple goals in a single Gold Cup group stage since the 2015 squad won a group that included regional giant Mexico.

Against Jamaica, however, their goal came early in the second half after the talented Reggae Boyz had posted three before halftime.

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USA vs Trinidad & Tobago Pick

It might be tempting to pick the U.S. to jump all over Trinidad and Tobago early in a manner similar to Wednesday's clash with St. Kitts and Nevis. But like that game, I still think the value is on a second-half total above 2.5 goals.

It didn't cash on Wednesday night, though it probably should have based on the number of chances created after the break. And even after that miss, it's a bet that has landed in seven of the USA's last 10 at the Gold Cup against Caribbean sides who have or are likely to finish third or fourth in the group.

Trinidad — who haven't scored against the U.S. on American soil in more than two decades — are not likely to play as aggressively early against the USMNT as they did against Jamaica. But they'll probably have to come forward upon the U.S. finding a goal, or Jamaica finding one in the other game.

So, I'm good backing some wild play after halftime again at +190 odds and an implied 34.5% probability. If you want a hedge, you might consider USA win to nil (-150), which has cashed repeatedly of late when these teams meet stateside.

Pick: 2nd Half Over 2.5 (+190 via Caesars)

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