Vancouver Whitecaps vs. New England Revolution Betting Odds, Preview, Picks: Can Canadian Outfit Halt Visitor’s Unbeaten Streak? (June 26)

Vancouver vs. New England Odds

Week 16 of the Major League Soccer slate wraps up Sunday when the Vancouver Whitecaps host the New England Revolution at BC Place.

Vancouver is coming off a 2-0 upset win at FC Dallas that saw manager Vanni Sartini's men sweep the season series.

New England has been the busiest team in the league this month, taking seven points from three games. Most recently, Gustavo Bou's gorgeous free kick sealed a 2-1 home win over Minnesota United last Sunday.

This is the teams' first meeting since July 17 of 2019, which resulted ina 4-0 New England home win.

Vancouver Whitecaps

The Whitecaps are the best MLS home team nobody knows about.

Amidst all the hype around the magic of then-interim manager Sartini’s mid-season takeover and run to the playoffs last year, the power of the fortress that was BC Place got lost.

It's happening again in 2022 after a brief stumble, with Vancouver earning 10 points from its last four matches at the indoor/outdoor venue.

They're also healthier than they've been most of the year. Brian White and Ryan Gauld — two of the key attacking pieces from last season’s run — are back in regular action after through fighting through earlier ailments.

By The Numbers

• 11-3-2 — Vancouver's home record (W-L-D) since returning to BC Place in 2021, having begun the year playing home matches in Utah due to the pandemic.
• 7 — Number of points earned in the Whitecaps' last four home games on goals scored at the 90 minute or later.

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New England Revolution

The Revolution has taken eight points from their first four games playing without Adam Buksa, who parlayed his seven goals early this season and 16 last year into a move to Ligue 1 side RC Lens.

However, maybe the gap left by his absence is becoming more noticeable.

New England was fortunate far more than good in its 2-1 weekend win over Minnesota United. A week before, the club required a late winner from Ema Boateng to secure a 2-1 victory over a poor Sporting Kansas City side playing nearly all of the second half with 10 men.

By The Numbers

• 30 — The combined total number of goals produced by the Revolution and their opponents in seven away matches.
• 8 — The length of New England's unbeaten run in games since being eliminated from CONCACAF Champions League play and turning focus to MLS.

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Betting Analysis & Pick

Vancouver has certainly benefited from some good home fortune. Yet, when you reach a sample size of 16 games, it's hard to explain the bulk of 11 wins away simply by variance.

Meanwhile, New England might be unbeaten since coming out of its CCL days, but it has been its own luck of late.

And while Vancouver's home xG metrics aren't great, it’s still better than its foe’s away numbers, which would suggest it should be slight favorites at least. That's before you add the BC Place intangibles that seem to be making the venue a stronger-than-average, home-field edge.

That's why I'm backing the hosts at +165 odds on the moneyline and an implied 37.7% probability that they'll take their 12th win in 17 home matches.

The Pick: Vancouver ML (+165)