Just two picks today. Spain is in action, but the value simply isn’t there. The market is obviously favoring Spain, but the goalscorer and assist props are priced extremely low and the juice isn’t worth squeezing. Instead, two plays from the other knockout matchups where the numbers tell a clear story.
The stakes are higher as the tournament progresses, but I'm still delivering daily picks, so continue reading for my goal scorer picks and World Cup player props for Thursday, July 2.
World Cup Goal Scorer Picks Today
Croatia vs Portugal Goal Scorer Pick
| Croatia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +120 | 2.5 -140o / 115u | +400 |
| Portugal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -150 | 2.5 -140o / 115u | -140 |
Bruno Fernandes — Assist vs. Croatia (+280)
Portugal has been underwhelming so far. A 1-1 draw with DR Congo and an inconsistent showing against Colombia have left a feeling that this team hasn’t found its best gear. But with their backs against the wall in a knockout match, their most creative player has to step up.
Bruno Fernandes must lead this team forward against a veteran Croatia side that has dropped off, but can still make life difficult for the Portuguese.
He broke the Premier League single-season assist record this past season with 21 assists. He also led the Premier League in chances created with 136, and created 21 chances for his country in World Cup qualifying alone.
Cristiano Ronaldo, who could very well be on the end of a Fernandes through ball today, came alive with a brace against Uzbekistan. But can he record his first ever World Cup knockout goal? Bruno will be looking for him and at +280, the Manchester United star is being badly underpriced.
Algeria vs Switzerland Goal Scorer Pick
| Algeria Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -115 | 2.5 120o / -150u | +340 |
| Switzerland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -110 | 2.5 120o / -150u | -105 |
Breel Embolo — Anytime Goalscorer vs. Algeria (+155)
Embolo is Switzerland’s talisman and the clear focal point of their attack. He leads the Swiss squad with 25 international goals and was Switzerland’s top scorer in qualifying with 4, combining power with smart movement across the front line.
He opened the tournament by converting Switzerland’s penalty against Qatar, which as we know offers him a direct line to grabbing a goal.
Algeria has been run over at this tournament — 3 goals conceded against Argentina, and 3 more against Austria. They do not have the defensive organization to stop a Switzerland side that will come at them from the first whistle.
Embolo is the man who will make them pay. At +155, back the Swiss striker to deliver in the biggest game of his team’s tournament.
