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World Cup Over/Under Picks for Ecuador vs Mexico, France vs Sweden

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Mexico fans fly a flag before the game against Ecuador at Bank of America Stadium. Credit: Griffin Zetterberg-Imagn Images

Forget who wins Tuesday's World Cup soccer matches; the best picks to consider are over/unders, according to PRO Projections.

Tuesday’s World Cup slate features three knockout-round games — Ecuador vs Mexico, Sweden vs France and Norway vs Ivory Coast — and I'm hitting PRO Projections to find the top value.

PRO is a data-driven, expert-backed modeling system that converts match simulations into probability estimates, compares those probabilities to market odds, and highlights the largest edges.

The system produces fair probabilities and implied prices for moneyline, draw, spread and totals, so bettors can see where the market is mispricing outcomes.

And speaking of mispricing … let's check out two totals well off projections.


World Cup Over/Under Picks for Ecuador vs New Mexico, France vs Sweden

Norway vs. Ivory Coast — Pass

PRO models don’t find a meaningful edge in this matchup, so it’s smart to pass. When projections and market prices line up closely, it’s usually best to lay off.

Sweden vs. France —