Liberty vs. Mercury Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2025
Liberty at Mercury
1:00 am • ESPN2
New York Liberty
1-273
73 - 79
Phoenix Mercury
2-279
Liberty at Mercury Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty 1-2 | +1.5 | +3-108 | o155.5-110 | +130 |
Mercury 2-2 | u156.5 | -3-112 | u155.5-110 | -158 |
PHX ArenaPhoenix
Liberty vs. Mercury Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 115-103-6 (+1.1u)
A.Thomas u26.5 Pts+Ast-130
0.65u
Tailing @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 41-52-1 (-6.4u)
A.Thomas u26.5 Pts+Ast-130
0.65u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 115-103-6 (+1.1u)
B.Stewart u7.5 Rebs+Ast+120
0.42u
I have her protection close to 7.5 RA but that assumes she plays normal minutes in this elimination game. She was clearly hobbled last game and played through it, but the Liberty could easily turn to Meesseman for minutes if Stewart isn’t effective.
This is mainly a play based on this being plus-odds and fragility in her projections. She could play all 40 minutes or she could play 20 because she’s hurt and making the team worse. While she averaged 10 RA per game in the regular season, she was just at 4 RA last game in 20 minutes and I feel like if she’s really hurt, she’s not going to be trying to crash the glass. Let’s embrace the variance.
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 41-48-3 (-13.4u)
Over 155.5-115
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 113-130-8 (+45.2u)
NY +2.5-110
1u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG
🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅
https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise
🔥60% OFF VIP!! ⬇️⬇️ (COPY & PASTE LINK):
https://dubclub.win/r/p/pri-r744p/?checkout=1&coupon=ValueHacks60
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 32-21-0 (+15.2u)
Under 156.5-110
0.45u
Liberty vs. Mercury Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Liberty vs. Mercury Public Betting Percentages
Liberty
Public
Mercury
100%
Bets%
0%Money%
Betting Trends
- Mercury are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Mercury are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mercury are 9-13 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mercury' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Mercury' 22 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-23 | 12-10 | 9-13 | 13-17 | 7-6 |
| 15-28-1 | 11-11 | 4-17-1 | 14-21 | 1-6-1 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18-25-1 | 9-13 | 9-12-1 | 15-15 | 3-9-1 |
| 17-26-1 | 7-15 | 10-11-1 | 13-22 | 4-3-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | N/A | N/A | 20-10 | 6-7 |
| 1-2 | N/A | N/A | 26-9 | 1-7 |
Last 5 Matchups
Liberty vs. Mercury Injury Updates
Liberty Injuries
- Breanna StewartF
Stewart is out with leg
Out
- Nyara SaballyC
Sabally is out with knee
Out
Mercury Injuries
Team Stats
Liberty
Mercury
23-68 (34%)
Field Goals
26-71 (37%)
20-26 (77%)
Free Throws
18-22 (82%)
7-32 (22%)
3P
9-24 (38%)
33
Rebounds
49
18
Assists
21
Turnovers
7
Steals
8
6
Blocks
3
19
Fouls
20
Liberty vs. Mercury Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Liberty at Mercury Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Liberty 1-2 | o76.5-115 | u76.5-115 |
Mercury 2-2 | o79.5-110 | u79.5-120 |