WNBA Best Bets: Spread Picks, Player Prop Prediction, Odds (Thursday, June 13)

WNBA Best Bets: Spread Picks, Player Prop Prediction, Odds (Thursday, June 13) article feature image

The WNBA regular season continues with an excellent three-game slate this Thursday, and all three matchups will be broadcasted nationally, as Storm vs. Wings and Dream vs. Fever tip off the action at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN3, followed by Aces vs. Mercury at 10:00 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Our betting experts have locked in two spread picks and one player prop prediction for today's slate of matchups. Read below for their three WNBA best bets for Thursday, June 13.

WNBA Best Bets Today | Thursday, June 13

GameTime (ET)Pick
7 p.m.
7 p.m.
10 p.m.
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Dream vs. Fever

Thursday, June 13
7 p.m. ET
Arike Ogunbowale Under 5.5 Assists (+112)

By Jim Turvey

The Dallas Wings play host to the Seattle Storm on Thursday, and I'll be looking to the under for a player who posted 10 assists her last time out.

Arike has indeed seen a bump in her passing numbers this season, and while I believe it to be somewhat sustainable with the roster as it currently stands, Thursday night is a bad matchup for her in this sense.

For one, the Storm are a very strong defense, the third-best defensive net rating team, and a team that gives up the third-fewest assists to opponents league-wide.

There's also the career-long trend of Arike passing more when she's on the road. For her career, she averages 4.1 assists on the road compared to 3.5 per game at home.

Add in the fact that she has talked about how her and Jewell Loyd (her fellow Notre Dame alum and direct opponent tonight) love to go back and forth giving each other buckets. They are two of the most skilled guards in the league, so it should make for great TV, but it should also help our assists under here.

I would play this to under 5.5 (-125), where we are getting plus money right now!

Pick: Arike Ogunbowale Under 5.5 Assists (+112)

Storm vs. Wings

Thursday, June 13
7 p.m. ET
Dream 1H -1.5 (-105)

By Dano Mataya

Thanks to Tanisha Wright and the Atlanta Dream, we no longer have a winless team in the WNBA following the Mystics domination of the Dream in Atlanta.

It wasn’t close from the jump. For some reason at home, the Dream have been the worst first-half team in the league. They have a net rating in the first half home games of -16.7. Yet, in the first half of road of road games, they have a net rating of +8.2.

Coming off an embarrassing loss, plus the juice of playing Caitlin, I expect them to come out strong in the first half of Thursday's contest. Play to -3.

Pick: Dream 1H -1.5 (-105)

Aces vs. Mercury

Thursday, June 13
10 p.m. ET
Prime Video
Aces -5.5 (-110)

By Stephen Nover

Missing injured star Chelsea Gray, the Aces have lost three straight games for the first time under Becky Hammon, who has been Las Vegas' head coach the past three seasons. 

Clearly, the Aces are in stop-the-pain mode. Hammon is the best coach in the WNBA in my view. I'm confident she'll have the Aces ready for this matchup. I don't see them losing for a fourth consecutive time. 

Phoenix has upgraded its roster and coaching staff from last year's 9-31 disaster. The Mercury are improved. But they are far from elite. They are what their 6-6 record says they are: a .500 team. 

The Aces are dropping down in class after losing, 100-86, to Minnesota at home this past Tuesday. The Lynx are one of the top-three teams in the league right now. 

Even without Gray, the Aces still are the No. 3 scoring team in the WNBA and second-best free throw shooting team. A'Ja Wilson is the most dominant player in the league. Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young give the Aces the three best players on the court. 

The Aces have gotten a boost from rookie spark plug Kate Martin and veteran Tiffany Hayes, who came out of retirement to join the Aces and is getting more comfortable with each game. She still brings something. 

Phoenix has gunners in Kahleah Cooper and ageless Diana Taurasi. But the Mercury ranks third-from-last defensively. The Aces are going to get their points here.

The key question is, can the Aces' defense be good enough for them to cover this mid-range number? I'm betting it will be, especially after Hammon expressed her extreme unhappiness following the loss to Minnesota.

Pick: Aces -5.5 (-110)

Aces vs. Mercury

Thursday, June 13
10 p.m. ET
Prime Video
Mercury 1H +3.5

By Andrew O'Connor-Watts

The Aces have been disappointing relative to the market this season but even more so in the first half. They’re just 1-7-1 ATS in the first two frames. And while part of that was the result of inflated spreads early in the season, even in the last four games the Aces are just 0-3-1 ATS. The last first half they covered was on May 31 against the Dream—the second-worst spread team in the W.

The Mercury have gotten back two key pieces in Rebecca Allen and Brittney Griner for their last two games and Phoenix has covered both first halves since their return, improving to 6-5 ATS on the season and 4-2 at home. Jackie Young isn’t on the injury report, but Chelsea Gray is still questionable to return, but even if she does, I’ll bank on her taking at least a half to get her rhythm back. I’ll take the Mercury to +2 in the first half.

Pick: Mercury 1H +3.5

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