Week 1 tied the NFL scoring record for the Super Bowl era and pushed plenty of markets into overreaction territory. Our three NFL best bets for Sunday, September 20 attack exactly that. Every price below comes from Kalshi, where contracts trade in cents and settle at $1, and new traders who use the Kalshi promo code ACTION55 turn a $25 trade into a $55 bonus.
| Promo Code | ACTION55 |
|---|---|
| Offer | Trade $25, get $55 bonus |
| Best for | NFL best bets, Week 2 Sunday slate |
Note that of all the prediction market promos I have come across, this $55 Kalshi welcome bonus is the biggest one there is. Don't miss out on your chance to claim it today before it goes away.
Packers Moneyline, 63 Cents (Packers vs. Jets, 1 p.m. ET)
Green Bay led most of Week 1 against a good Vikings team before a late collapse flipped the result. The closing price here punishes that finish far harder than the performance deserves.
New York looked sharper than expected, sure. The Jets built that impression against a lowly Titans team, though, and Tennessee hands out confidence cheaply.
A bounce-back victory from a roster this talented reads as the clear likeliest outcome, and 63 cents pays fairly for it.
Pick: Packers Moneyline at 63 Cents
Vikings-Bears Over 48.5 Points, 49 Cents (1 p.m. ET)
Chicago arrives off a 59-point explosion in the highest-scoring Week 1 game ever played. Minnesota counters with one of the league's better defenses, but that unit still gave up 19 first-half points to Green Bay and 22 total.
This total needs nothing crazy. A 27-24 final clears it comfortably, and both of these offenses reach the mid-20s without anything unusual happening.
Buy the over at 49 cents before the number climbs.
Pick: Over 48.5 Points at 49 Cents
Seahawks -2.5, 60 Cents (Seahawks vs. Cardinals, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Seattle erased a deficit against New England with Drew Lock running the offense, which says plenty about the supporting cast around him. Arizona stunned the Chargers in Week 1, so the Cardinals earn real credit, yet the Seahawks still grade out as the better all-around team.
The defense creates the gap here. Jaxon Smith-Njigba keeps producing with Lock under center in place of Sam Darnold, and 60 cents on a 2.5-point cushion undersells Seattle in a divisional road spot.
Pick: Seahawks -2.5 at 60 Cents
Kalshi Promo Code ACTION55: Trade $25, Get $55
If you like our content and picks, sign up on Kalshi with promo code ACTION55, claim the bonus, and trade this card yourself. New users who register with Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and trade $25 collect a $55 bonus, which doubles the stake behind the three NFL best bets above.
Claim it in four steps:
- Tap through to Kalshi and enter promo code ACTION55 at sign-up.
- Verify your identity and fund the account.
- Trade $25 on any market, including this week's NFL odds.
- Collect the $55 bonus and put it toward the Packers, the over, or Seattle.
Do it before the 1 p.m. ET kickoffs so the bonus lands in time for all three NFL best bets.
Where Kalshi Works, and Why Prediction Markets Suit NFL Best Bets
Kalshi runs as a federally regulated exchange, so it reaches 41 states plus Washington, D.C.: AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV and WY.
Cent pricing makes the math plain. A 63-cent contract pays 37 cents on a win, so you read your break-even number straight off the price instead of converting American NFL odds in your head. You also exit a position early when a game turns, which matters on a three-leg card like this one.
Our Kalshi review breaks down fees and market structure, and our guides to the best prediction market apps and best prediction market promos stack it up against rival prediction markets.
Grab the bonus, then ride the Packers, the Vikings-Bears over, and the Seahawks. That trio makes up our NFL best bets for Week 2.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
