Week 2 wrapped up Monday night, and the hot seat conversation already has real money behind it. Four coaches trade above 40 cents on Kalshi, and the NFL head coach fired odds give you a live read on which seats run hottest in late September.
New users who sign up with the Kalshi promo code ACTION and trade $25 get $55 in bonus credit to put toward this NFL market.
NFL Head Coach Fired Odds After Week 2
- Dan Quinn, Commanders: 46 cents
- Jim Harbaugh, Chargers: 46 cents
- Todd Bowles, Buccaneers: 42 cents
- Shane Steichen, Colts: 40 cents
Prices reflect Tuesday afternoon and move throughout the week. On prediction markets, a 46-cent contract implies roughly a 46% chance of the event happening.
Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders (46 Cents)
Washington sits 0-2 and plays the next few weeks without Jayden Daniels. That combination explains why Dan Quinn shares the top spot.
The 2024 season set a bar this roster hasn't come close to matching. A slow start with Daniels out hurts, and a slow start once he returns hurts more. Either path spells trouble for Quinn.
Jim Harbaugh, Los Angeles Chargers (46 Cents)
Few teams entered the NFL season with more hype than the Chargers. Two home losses to the Cardinals and Raiders cooled that quickly.
This roster carries real talent and an elite quarterback in Justin Herbert. When a group like that underachieves, the head coach usually absorbs the blame, and Jim Harbaugh sitting at 46 cents reflects exactly that risk.
Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (42 Cents)
Tampa Bay also starts 0-2, and the home loss to the Browns landed as the ugliest result of the weekend. The Bucs have underwhelmed since Tom Brady retired, and nothing through two weeks suggests a push in a weak NFC South.
That division stays winnable every year, which makes missing it costly. Todd Bowles could be out by the end if October looks like September.
Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts (40 Cents)
Shane Steichen at 40 cents reads as the surprise of the group. Indianapolis looked bad in Week 1, then battled the Chiefs down to the wire on the road in Week 2.
The market likely prices in last year's late-season collapse more than anything from the past 10 days. The Colts have gone a long stretch without a regular-season win, and that history follows Steichen into this year.
How to Trade NFL Head Coach Fired Odds on Kalshi
Kalshi ranks among the best prediction market apps for NFL traders because these markets stay open all season and prices update in real time. If you like our content and picks, sign up with the Kalshi promo code ACTION, claim the bonus, and trade this market yourself.
- Create an account at Kalshi and enter promo code ACTION
- Verify your identity and deposit funds
- Place $25 in trades
- Get $55 in bonus credit
- Search "head coach" and take a position on any of the four names above
Our full Kalshi review breaks down fees, payouts, and how contract pricing works for those coming from a traditional sportsbook background. Among the best NFL prediction market promos running this fall, a $25 entry for $55 back stands out for anyone testing prediction markets for the first time.
Kalshi Promo Code ACTION: State Availability
Kalshi operates in AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WA, WI, WV, and WY.
Coaching markets reprice every Sunday, so the NFL head coach fired odds you see today rarely hold through Week 5. Quinn and Harbaugh carry the most short-term risk given their schedules, while Bowles faces the clearest referendum in a division nobody has claimed. Track the board, and trade the moves as they happen.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
