Bermuda Championship Betting Odds, Picks: These 6 Have Value, Including Adam Hadwin

Bermuda Championship Betting Odds, Picks: These 6 Have Value, Including Adam Hadwin article feature image

Quality Sport Images/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Rai

Bermuda Championship Odds

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Matthew Fitzpatrick+1000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+1200
Mito Pereira+1600
Patrick Reed+2000
Seamus Power+2000
Hayden Buckley+2500
Chad Ramey+2800
Takumi Kanaya+3500
Matthias Schwab+3500
Adam Hadwin+3500
Taylor Pendrith+3500
Guido Migliozzi+4000
Danny Willett+4000
Patrick Rodgers+4500
Stephan Jaeger+4500
Denny McCarthy+5000
Nick Hardy+5000
Thomas Detry+5000
Alex Smalley+5000
David Lipsky+5000
Joseph Bramlett+5000
Sahith Theegala+5000
Garrick Higgo+5000
Greyson Sigg+5000
Ryan Armour+5500
Mark Hubbard+6000
Lucas Herbert+6000
Russell Knox+6000
Scott Stallings+6000
Dylan Frittelli+6000
Hank Lebioda+6000
Harry Hall+6000
Peter Uihlein+6500
Jason Dufner+6500
Nick Watney+6500
Austin Eckroat+6500
Bo Hoag+6500
Lee Hodges+6500
Seth Reeves+8000
Aaron Rai+8000
Beau Hossler+8000
Nick Taylor+8000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+8000
Peter Malnati+8000
Vincent Whaley+9000
Dawie Van Der Walt+9000
Brian Stuard+9000
Adam Svensson+9000
Brandon Hagy+9000
Sepp Straka+10000
David Hearn+10000
Anirban Lahiri+10000
Kramer Hickok+10000
Davis Riley+10000
Graeme McDowell+10000
Brian Gay+10000
Camilo Villegas+10000
Brandon Wu+10000
Cameron Percy+10000
Matthew NeSmith+10000
Ben Kohles+13000
Danny Lee+13000
David Skinns+13000
Justin Lower+13000
Tommy Gainey+13000
Sean O'Hair+13000
Scott Gutschewski+13000
Callum Tarren+13000
Max McGreevy+13000
Michael Gligic+13000
Patrick Flavin+13000
Paul Barjon+13000
Andrew Novak+13000
Kurt Kitayama+13000
Austin Cook+13000
Austin Smotherman+13000
David Lingmerth+15000
Bo Van Pelt+15000
Chase Seiffert+15000
Vaughn Taylor+15000
Dylan Wu+15000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Erik Barnes+20000
Jim Knous+25000
Brett Drewitt+25000
Ben Crane+25000
Noh Seung-yul+25000
Luke Donald+25000
Brian Morris+30000
Heath Slocum+30000
Jason Bohn+30000
Arjun Atwal+30000
Fabian Gomez+30000
Scott Brown+30000
Kyle Wilshire+30000
Johnson Wagner+30000
Chris Stroud+30000
Sang-Moon Bae+30000
Robert Garrigus+30000
John Pak+30000
Curtis Thompson+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Greg Chalmers+30000
Ted Potter Jr.+40000
Jonathan Byrd+40000
Andres Romero+50000
Jay McLuen+50000
Ted Purdy+50000
Greg Koch+50000
Daniel Chopra+50000
Jordan Gumberg+50000
Ricky Barnes+50000
Carl Pettersson+50000
Richard S Johnson+50000
Parker McLachlin+50000
Camiko Smith+50000
John Rollins+50000
Michael Kim+50000
J.J. Henry+50000
Michael Bradley+50000
Michael Sims+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Chaka Desilva+50000
Robert Allenby+50000
Darren-Andrew Points+50000
Kevin Stadler+50000
Matt Every+50000
John Merrick+50000
John Senden+50000
Matt Hill+50000

It was not much of a surprise that Hideki Matsuyama cruised past the field for the win in his home country at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP.

Now, we're on to an interesting field for the Bermuda Championship. There aren't too many well established PGA TOUR stars are making the trip this week, so it's a real chance for someone to grab a breakthrough win and get a spot in the Masters along with all the other perks that come with a victory.

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The Course

Port Royal Golf Course is short by PGA Tour standards, measuring at just over 6,800 yards for a par 71.

In two years, we've seen Brendon Todd and Brian Gay take down the title, so you definitely don't need to be long to compete here.

If it isn’t windy, we can expect the scores to reach into the 20-under range again this week. But with many of the holes right along the ocean, wind is the biggest potential issue for players at this course. Last year, the wind played more of a factor and Gay ended up winning at 15-under par.

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The Favorites

Matthew Fitzpatrick, fresh off a win in Europe a couple weeks ago, checks in here at +1000 followed by Christiaan Bezuidenhout at +1200. Both are on the shorter side off the tee but have shown the ability to putt well, so this could be a spot for each to get that first tour win.

Mito Pereira is next in line at +1600 and has had a good run the past few months after an early promotion from the Korn Ferry Tour. The irons have been top notch in the fall swing, but the putter just hasn't shown up yet. He's shown on the KFT though that he can get hot with that club, so it may just be a matter of time before he gets going on the greens.

Patrick Reed and Seamus Power close out the top of the board at +2000. From a win equity stand point, Reed is probably the best play by far assuming he's healthy, but he also doesn't have a top 10 in nearly five months. Power cooled off quite a bit after his win at the Barbasol, but he did have a good week with the irons in his last start at the Shriners.

The Mid-Tier

I'll start my card with Adam Hadwin at +3500 on DK. He was sixth in his last start at the Shriners and was good everywhere but off the tee. He fits that Todd/Gay mold of guys who are good with their irons and short game but don't really hit it a mile.

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We'll back Nick Hardy here at +7000 on Bet365. He's had a couple good ball striking weeks during the fall swing so far and was a consistant player on the Korn Ferry Tour. He hit a bit of a slump once he locked up a card, which probably came down to him having one eye on the big tour after that two year marathon of season. But in four PGA Tour starts in 2021, he's made the weekend every time and has the game to contend in this field.

I'm also playing Mark Hubbard at +7500 on Bet365. Hubbard is a guy who usually hits the irons well and is good with the putter, so this is the type of course and field where he can have a strong result. He's quietly made 11 of his last 12 cuts with four top 20 finishes during that time.

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The Longshots

This isn't a bad event to take a couple shots down here given the lack of big names.

I'll start this range with Dawie van der Walt at 100/1. He hasn't had many starts yet this season but did play well in Napa on the heels of a strong finish to the KFT season.

Two veterans have already taken this title down recently, and although it's been awhile since van der Walt has come out on top, a couple of wins on the European Tour early in his career show that when the game is on, he can hang in this field.

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We'll take a stab with Max McGreevy at 150/1 on BetMGM. McGreevy is another guy who didn't necessarily bomb it on the KFT the last couple years, but he hit a lot of greens and putted well. The shorter courses were also the ones where he tended to pop up on the leaderboard.

He hasn't done anything yet on the PGA Tour in two starts, but he has had a good week with both the approach and short game, so the game is there, but it's about getting it to click all at once.

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The Bermuda Card

  • Adam Hadwin +3500 (.94 units)
  • Nick Hardy +7000 (.47 units)
  • Aaron Rai +7500 (.44 units)
  • Mark Hubbard +7500 (.44 units)
  • Dawie van der Walt +10000 (.33 units)
  • Max McGreevy +15000 (.22 units)

Total Stake: 2.84 units

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