2021 Houston Open Odds & Betting Picks: Back Adam Scott & These 3 on PGA TOUR

2021 Houston Open Odds & Betting Picks: Back Adam Scott & These 3 on PGA TOUR article feature image

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Adam Scott.

  • A strong field has come to Texas for the Houston Open this week.

We're nearly the conclusion of golf for 2021 with the Houston Open serving as the penultimate event of the calendar year.

As the year winds down, the fields tend to see less and less of the bigger names show up and this is no exception.

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2021 Houston Open Full Odds

Click here to see the full odds board as of Monday
Sam Burns+1200
Scottie Scheffler+1800
Cameron Smith+1800
Sung-Jae Im+2000
Talor Gooch+2200
Matthew Wolff+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Tony Finau+2500
Brooks Koepka+2800
Adam Scott+2800
Aaron Wise+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Carlos Ortiz+3500
Marc Leishman+4000
Shane Lowry+4000
Patrick Reed+4500
Maverick McNealy+4500
Seamus Power+4500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+4500
Russell Henley+4500
Mackenzie Hughes+5000
Jason Kokrak+5000
Cameron Tringale+5000
Harold Varner III+5000
Max Homa+6000
Lanto Griffin+6000
Erik Van Rooyen+6000
Ian Poulter+6500
Charley Hoffman+6500
Branden Grace+7500
Mito Pereira+8000
Jhonattan Vegas+8000
Taylor Moore+8000
Gary Woodland+9000
Chad Ramey+10000
Cameron Davis+10000
Jason Day+10000
Sebastian Munoz+10000
Greyson Sigg+10000
Taylor Pendrith+11000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+11000
Kevin Streelman+11000
Lee Westwood+11000
Adam Schenk+13000
Danny Willett+13000
Chez Reavie+13000
Emiliano Grillo+13000
Brian Harman+13000
Ryan Palmer+13000
Joel Dahmen+13000
Stewart Cink+13000
Matthias Schwab+13000
Harry Higgs+13000
Sepp Straka+15000
Luke List+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Pat Perez+15000
Adam Long+15000
Aaron Rai+15000
Henrik Norlander+15000
Scott Piercy+15000
James Hahn+15000
Stephan Jaeger+15000
Sahith Theegala+15000
Keith Mitchell+15000
Russell Knox+15000
Tom Hoge+15000
Henrik Stenson+15000
Denny McCarthy+18000
Hudson Swafford+18000
J.J. Spaun+18000
Nate Lashley+18000
Brandt Snedeker+18000
Scott Stallings+18000
Francesco Molinari+18000
Roger Sloan+18000
Brian Stuard+18000
Andrew Landry+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Wyndham Clark+20000
Dylan Frittelli+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Peter Uihlein+25000
David Lipsky+25000
Anirban Lahiri+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Jason Dufner+25000
Davis Riley+25000
Kyle Stanley+25000
Doc Redman+25000
Brandon Hagy+25000
Sunghoon Kang+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
Andrew Putnam+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Dawie Van Der Walt+25000
Brice Garnett+25000
Lee Hodges+25000
Vincent Whaley+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Sam Ryder+25000
Adam Svensson+25000
Kevin Tway+30000
Zach Johnson+30000
Bill Haas+30000
Graeme McDowell+30000
Jimmy Walker+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Chesson Hadley+30000
Bronson Burgoon+30000
Joseph Bramlett+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
MJ Daffue+30000
Kramer Hickok+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Jim Herman+35000
Noh Seung-yul+40000
Tyler McCumber+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Brian Gay+40000
Chris Stroud+50000
Chase Koepka+50000
Paul Barjon+50000
Gilbert Mendez+100000
Martin Trainer+100000
Shawn Stefani+100000
Kelly Kraft+100000

The Course

Memorial Park was newly renovated a couple years ago with the help of Brooks Koepka, so it should come as no surprise that it figures to favor the longer hitters this week.

The par 70 measures 7,432 yards and features three par 5s to give the bombers plenty of scoring opportunities. It also boasts three par 3s measuring over 200 yards giving solid long-iron players a bit of an edge there.

It looks like the long hitters will have the advantage, so I’ll be looking at bombers in some decent form with good Bermudagrass putting numbers enough to take advantage of the birdie opportunities that await.

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The Favorites

Sam Burns and Scottie Scheffler lead of the top of the board here in the +1800 range. Burns was on the card a year ago here at 100-1, so we've seen quite the rise from him this past year. I like both him and Scheffler, but of the two, Burns would be where I'd lean.

Cam Smith and Sungjae Im are next in line at around +2000, followed by guys like Tyrrell Hatton, Matthew Wolff and Tony Finau at +2500.

Brooks Koepka is in that next range down at +2800 and will be popular this week given his connection to the course during the redesign.

The Mid-Tier

The card will start here with Adam Scott at +3600 on FanDuel. Anytime long irons come into play, Scott is worth a look.

This also wasn't a birdie fest with scores in the low to mid teens in contention, which is where I'd rather have the scoring when backing Scott since it's hard to ask him to make 20 to 25 birdie putts in a given week.

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The Longshots

I'll open here with Ryan Palmer at 130-1 on DraftKings. Palmer's ball striking has improved in recent weeks and he's been starting to put together some decent results after a rough summer. At the price, I think the Texan playing in Texas is worth a flyer.

Another play I like down here is Greyson Sigg at 170-1 on FanDuel. Sigg has made four of five cuts in the fall since graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour and had his best driving and approach week of the swing season in Mexico. He's won twice on the KFT last season, so he's more than capable of taking down a field like this as well.

We'll go down here with Denny McCarthy at 180-1 on DraftKings. McCarthy has driven the ball well and hit a lot of greens his last two weeks. But without the strokes gained stats to back it up, it looks like he's flying a little under the radar this week.

He has the tendency to get hot with the putter on Bermuda, so this could be a spot for him to pop up with another good week after finishing 15th in Mexico.

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The Houston Card

  • Adam Scott +3600 (.92 units)
  • Ryan Palmer +13000 (.25 units)
  • Greyson Sigg +17000 (.19 units)
  • Denny McCarthy +18000 (.18 units)

Total Stake: 1.44 units

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