2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open Odds, Expert Picks & Preview: Denny McCarthy, Davis Riley & Alex Smalley Combine Course Fit and Value
Pictured: Denny McCarthy. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
- The PGA TOUR returns to Texas this week with the Cadence Bank Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course.
- Scottie Scheffler is the favorite, but Chris Murphy has three other outright picks.
- Check out his best bets and analysis below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open odds via BetMGM
|Si Woo Kim||+5000|
|Byeong Hun An||+15000|
|Erik van Rooyen||+15000|
|Paul Haley II||+30000|
Once again the Fall Swing was a place for a breakthrough win after a long drought as Russell Henley prevailed at Mayakoba. The former Georgia Bulldog was absolutely dominant en route to his fourth career win and first since the 2017 season. He'll tee it up again this week as the TOUR heads back stateside for the Houston Open as it heads to the end of full-field events in 2022.
There are just two of those full field events left this fall, starting this week from Memorial Park Golf Course at the Houston Open. Texas native and No. 2 in OWGR Scottie Scheffler headlines the field this week and leads the way on the odds board around +600. Sam Burns and Tony Finau are the two other top-15 players in the world competing this week.
This is a rare course and event that poses a challenge to players this time of year. The winning score has hovered in the mid-teens under par much of the time, with 10-under getting it done for Jason Kokrak last year. As is often the case in Texas, wind can make this a difficult track to navigate. We'll keep an eye on those factors leading into the week, but for now we are looking for strong odds on good ball strikers who can get hot on the greens.
Murphy's Best Outright Bets
Denny McCarthy +4000 (BetMGM)
The last time we saw McCarthy, he was the low man on the odds board at the Bermuda Championship. While he didn't come through for his maiden victory, he was right there throughout the week and hit the ball really well. He fell short, finishing T6, but now he comes to another course that should be a nice fit for his game at much more palatable odds.
McCarthy has made the cut in each of his last four trips to Memorial Park, with finishes of T11 and T9 in two of his last three years. He is consistently one of the best putters on TOUR, and Bermudagrass is his favorite putting surface. This is a week where the flatstick will be the important club in the winner's bag, and with McCarthy's combination of solid recent play and putting upside, I love his value at +4000 on BetMGM.
Davis Riley +5000 (BetMGM)
I said before the start of the Fall Swing that I thought we would see Davis Riley come through with a win during this stretch. Unfortunately, it seems he has felt the weight of my prediction as he has struggled to put together four rounds.
He has really struggled with his game off the tee in particular, but he showed better consistency last week at Mayakoba where he was steadily in the 60s across all four rounds. I am buying in on him at this solid number as he heads to a course that should fit his game and am hopeful he is on the upswing with his game to close out this stretch.
Alex Smalley +8000 (BetMGM)
I'm going a bit deeper with Alex Smalley, whom I have looked to a number of times over the past year. He's someone I really like on Bermudagrass courses as he has shown an ability to navigate those, especially with his putter. Smalley was also last seen at the Bermuda where he posted a T11 result and took a week off before heading to Texas.
The former Duke Blue Devil has a T15 to his name in his only appearance at this event from last year. I believe in the young player's talent, and as he showed us last year in Canada, he can compete with the very best in the world when he has his game. I'll keep chasing that upside in weeks like this where we are getting a strong number on a good course fit.