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2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open Odds, Expert Picks & Preview: Denny McCarthy, Davis Riley & Alex Smalley Combine Course Fit and Value

2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open Odds, Expert Picks & Preview: Denny McCarthy, Davis Riley & Alex Smalley Combine Course Fit and Value article feature image
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Pictured: Denny McCarthy. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

  • The PGA TOUR returns to Texas this week with the Cadence Bank Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course.
  • Scottie Scheffler is the favorite, but Chris Murphy has three other outright picks.
  • Check out his best bets and analysis below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open odds via BetMGM
Player Name Odds
Scottie Scheffler +600
Sam Burns +1400
Aaron Wise +1800
Tony Finau +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Maverick McNealy +2500
Russell Henley +2500
Taylor Montgomery +2500
Jason Day +2800
Davis Riley +4000
Denny McCarthy +4000
Joel Dahmen +4000
Sahith Theegala +4000
Alex Noren +5000
Dean Burmester +5000
Emiliano Grillo +5000
Keith Mitchell +5000
Mackenzie Hughes +5000
Matthew NeSmith +5000
Patrick Rodgers +5000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Taylor Pendrith +5000
Andrew Putnam +6000
Adam Hadwin +6600
Adam Long +6600
Brandon Wu +6600
Taylor Moore +6600
Will Gordon +6600
Aaron Rai +6600
Harris English +6600
Lee Hodges +6600
Sebastian Munoz +6600
Sepp Straka +6600
Wyndham Clark +6600
Adam Schenk +8000
Alex Smalley +8000
Brendan Steele +8000
Justin Lower +8000
Luke List +8000
Danny Willett +9000
David Lipsky +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Martin Laird +9000
Cameron Champ +10000
Charley Hoffman +10000
Francesco Molinari +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Justin Rose +10000
Justin Suh +10000
Mark Hubbard +10000
Robby Shelton +10000
Russell Knox +10000
Ryan Palmer +10000
Stephan Jaeger +10000
Beau Hossler +12500
David Lingmerth +12500
Dylan Frittelli +12500
Henrik Norlander +12500
Nick Taylor +12500
Ryan Armour +12500
S.H. Kim +12500
Adam Svensson +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Byeong Hun An +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
John Huh +15000
Kevin Streelman +15000
Matt Wallace +15000
Matthias Schwab +15000
Scott Piercy +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Zecheng Dou +15000
Austin Smotherman +17500
Robert Streb +17500
Stewart Cink +17500
Austin Cook +20000
Austin Eckroat +20000
Ben Taylor +20000
Callum Tarren +20000
Carl Yuan +20000
Garrick Higgo +20000
James Hahn +20000
Johannes Veerman +20000
Joseph Bramlett +20000
Kramer Hickok +20000
Michael Gligic +20000
MJ Daffue +20000
Doc Redman +25000
Harry Hall +25000
Peter Malnati +25000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Ben Martin +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Eric Cole +30000
Kevin Tway +30000
Paul Haley II +30000
Philip Knowles +30000
Chad Ramey +35000
Chris Stroud +35000
Erik Barnes +35000
Kelly Kraft +35000
Nick Watney +35000
Zac Blair +35000
Carson Young +40000
Jimmy Walker +40000
Max McGreevy +40000
Nico Echavarria +40000
Travis Vick +40000
Augusto Nunez +50000
Brandon Matthews +50000
Brent Grant +50000
Cole Hammer +50000
Jim Herman +50000
Kyle Westmoreland +50000
Michael Kim +50000
Richy Werenski +50000
Tyson Alexander +50000
Scott Harrington +50000
Kevin Roy +50000
Seung-Yul Noh +50000
Zack Fischer +50000
Jason Dufner +75000
Ryan Brehm +75000
Tano Goya +75000
Anders Albertson +75000
Ben Kern +100000
Walker Lee +100000
Trevor Werbylo +100000
Lukas Euler +100000
Sean Jacklin +100000

Once again the Fall Swing was a place for a breakthrough win after a long drought as Russell Henley prevailed at Mayakoba. The former Georgia Bulldog was absolutely dominant en route to his fourth career win and first since the 2017 season. He’ll tee it up again this week as the TOUR heads back stateside for the Houston Open as it heads to the end of full-field events in 2022.

There are just two of those full field events left this fall, starting this week from Memorial Park Golf Course at the Houston Open. Texas native and No. 2 in OWGR Scottie Scheffler headlines the field this week and leads the way on the odds board around +600. Sam Burns and Tony Finau are the two other top-15 players in the world competing this week.

This is a rare course and event that poses a challenge to players this time of year. The winning score has hovered in the mid-teens under par much of the time, with 10-under getting it done for Jason Kokrak last year. As is often the case in Texas, wind can make this a difficult track to navigate. We’ll keep an eye on those factors leading into the week, but for now we are looking for strong odds on good ball strikers who can get hot on the greens.

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Murphy’s Best Outright Bets

Denny McCarthy +4000 (BetMGM)

The last time we saw McCarthy, he was the low man on the odds board at the Bermuda Championship. While he didn’t come through for his maiden victory, he was right there throughout the week and hit the ball really well. He fell short, finishing T6, but now he comes to another course that should be a nice fit for his game at much more palatable odds.

McCarthy has made the cut in each of his last four trips to Memorial Park, with finishes of T11 and T9 in two of his last three years. He is consistently one of the best putters on TOUR, and Bermudagrass is his favorite putting surface. This is a week where the flatstick will be the important club in the winner’s bag, and with McCarthy’s combination of solid recent play and putting upside, I love his value at +4000 on BetMGM.

Davis Riley +5000 (BetMGM)

I said before the start of the Fall Swing that I thought we would see Davis Riley come through with a win during this stretch. Unfortunately, it seems he has felt the weight of my prediction as he has struggled to put together four rounds.

He has really struggled with his game off the tee in particular, but he showed better consistency last week at Mayakoba where he was steadily in the 60s across all four rounds. I am buying in on him at this solid number as he heads to a course that should fit his game and am hopeful he is on the upswing with his game to close out this stretch.

Alex Smalley +8000 (BetMGM)

I’m going a bit deeper with Alex Smalley, whom I have looked to a number of times over the past year. He’s someone I really like on Bermudagrass courses as he has shown an ability to navigate those, especially with his putter. Smalley was also last seen at the Bermuda where he posted a T11 result and took a week off before heading to Texas.

The former Duke Blue Devil has a T15 to his name in his only appearance at this event from last year. I believe in the young player’s talent, and as he showed us last year in Canada, he can compete with the very best in the world when he has his game. I’ll keep chasing that upside in weeks like this where we are getting a strong number on a good course fit.

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