2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & Picks: Top Bets & DFS Targets at TPC Sawgrass

2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds & Picks: Top Bets & DFS Targets at TPC Sawgrass article feature image

Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Matt Fitzpatrick

Click arrow to expand 2022 PLAYERS Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 PLAYERS Championship Odds

Jon Rahm+1200
Justin Thomas+1400
Collin Morikawa+1800
Patrick Cantlay+2000
Rory McIlroy+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Daniel Berger+2500
Scottie Scheffler+2800
Hideki Matsuyama+3000
Cameron Smith+3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3300
Xander Schauffele+3300
Dustin Johnson+3500
Im Sung-jae+4000
Shane Lowry+4000
Brooks Koepka+4500
Adam Scott+5000
Billy Horschel+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Joaquin Niemann+5000
Jordan Spieth+5000
Louis Oosthuizen+5000
Sam Burns+5000
Tyrrell Hatton+5000
Will Zalatoris+5000
Russell Henley+6000
Si Woo Kim+6000
Talor Gooch+6000
Abraham Ancer+6600
Gary Woodland+6600
Sergio Garcia+6600
Tony Finau+6600
Webb Simpson+6600
Chris Kirk+7000
Max Homa+7000
Paul Casey+7000
Jason Day+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Marc Leishman+8000
Tom Hoge+8000
Tommy Fleetwood+8000
Cameron Young+9000
Jason Kokrak+9000
Alexander Noren+10000
Brian Harman+10000
Bubba Watson+10000
Cameron Tringale+10000
Justin Rose+10000
Sebastian Munoz+10000
Thomas Pieters+10000
Aaron Wise+12500
Harold Varner III+12500
Ian Poulter+12500
Keith Mitchell+12500
Kevin Kisner+12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+12500
Lee Westwood+12500
Luke List+12500
Maverick McNealy+12500
Patrick Reed+12500
Russell Knox+12500
Seamus Power+12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan+15000
Denny McCarthy+15000
Erik Van Rooyen+15000
Jhonattan Vegas+15000
Lanto Griffin+15000
Lucas Herbert+15000
Mackenzie Hughes+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Jones+15000
Matthew Wolff+15000
Mito Guillermo Pereira+15000
Patton Kizzire+15000
Ryan Palmer+15000
Taylor Moore+17500
Adam Hadwin+20000
Andrew D. Putnam+20000
Beau Hossler+20000
Brendan Steele+20000
Brendon Todd+20000
Cameron Champ+20000
Cameron Davis+20000
Charley Hoffman+20000
Doug Ghim+20000
Dylan Frittelli+20000
Emiliano Grillo+20000
Francesco Molinari+20000
Joel Dahmen+20000
Matt Kuchar+20000
Sahith Theegala+20000
Sepp Straka+20000
Taylor Pendrith+20000
Branden Grace+25000
Carlos Ortiz+25000
Chez Reavie+25000
Garrick Higgo+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
J. J. Spaun+25000
JT Poston+25000
Lucas Glover+25000
Matt Wallace+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Pat Perez+25000
Ryan Brehm+25000
Troy Merritt+25000
Wyndham Clark+25000
Zach Johnson+25000
Adam Long+30000
Henrik Norlander+30000
Kevin Streelman+30000
Kramer Hickok+30000
Lee Hodges+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Stewart Cink+30000
Adam Schenk+35000
Brandt Snedeker+35000
Brian Stuard+35000
Charl Schwartzel+35000
Doc Redman+35000
Harry Higgs+35000
Hudson Swafford+35000
Kevin Tway+35000
Kyle Stanley+35000
Sam Ryder+35000
Hayden Buckley+40000
James Hahn+40000
Roger Sloan+40000
Scott Piercy+40000
Scott Stallings+40000
Anirban Lahiri+50000
Brandon Hagy+50000
Brian Gay+50000
Brice Garnett+50000
Chesson Hadley+50000
Danny Lee+50000
Hank Lebioda+50000
Jimmy Walker+50000
Joseph Bramlett+50000
Peter Malnati+50000
Richy Werenski+50000
Robert Streb+50000
Stephan Jaeger+50000
Tyler McCumber+50000

Bet THE PLAYERS at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

We have the self-proclaimed fifth major on tap this week for THE PLAYERS. This is one of the best events of the year and it comes with the biggest purse ($20 million). The field is stacked and everyone is itching for Thursday morning.

TPC Sawgrass is a Par 72 that measures 7,256 yards. It features four par fives and a drivable par four. This is a unique course in that there are plenty of scoring opportunities and plenty of landmines. Water is in play on 17 of the 18 holes and the greens are tough to hit on average seeing as how they are only 5,500 square feet on average.

There isn't one specific skill set that will lead to success at this course. Accuracy is certainly preferred over distance off the tee, but many of the big hitters will be clubbing down on a lot of the holes. Approach play is critical each and every week and Pete Dye courses tend to reward good iron shots. Scrambling will be a tough test and the three-putt percentage here is higher than your average PGA TOUR event.

The big story of the week is the weather. The current forecast calls for rain on both Thursday and Friday, potential 30+ mph gusts on Saturday, and cold temperatures on Sunday. Golfers will not only have to battle a difficult golf course, but the elements as well.

Before we get into this week's picks, let's quickly cover the selections for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Matthew Fitzpatrick and Billy Horschel were the two outright picks and they were both in the mix on the back nine on Sunday. When betting these large outrights, that's really all you can ask for as a bettor. Ian Poulter won his matchup bet over Erik Van Rooyen and Lanto Griffin returned value as a cheap DFS option, so it was a pretty strong week overall.

Favorite Outright: Jon Rahm +1300

It's only a matter of time before Rahm's short game shows up and he starts running away with events. His ball striking is as sharp as ever, as he's gained 11.4, 9.4, and 11.4 strokes in his last three starts. He's losing strokes on and around the greens, which isn't something we expect from Rahm.

He nearly won THE PLAYERS in 2019 before making a bad decision on the back nine on Sunday and has posted progressively better finishes every time he's played the event. The stacked field allows us to get a much better number on Rahm and I'm not missing my opportunity to bet him at +1300.

Bet Rahm at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Longshot: Matt Fitzpatrick +4000

I'm going right back to the well with this one, as Fitzpatrick has now racked up five straight top 12 finishes worldwide. As noted above, you don't have to be a bomber to contend at TPC Sawgrass. Fitzpatrick isn't long off the tee, but he gains strokes thanks to his ability to pepper fairways.

He's solid with his mid-irons, he is good around the greens, and he might be the best bermudagrass putter on tour. If the conditions get bad, it could really favor some of these European Tour players that are used to playing in poor weather.

Bet Fitzpatrick at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Matchup: Adam Scott -112 over Sam Burns

When betting matchups, we want to focus on consistency over upside. Scott has made at least 13 straight cuts at THE PLAYERS with a win and seven other top-20 finishes during that stretch. He's also made 14 of his last 15 cuts on the PGA TOUR.

Meanwhile, Burns was nearly dead last in his PLAYERS debut in 2021 and has missed three of his last four cuts on tour. The two have similar ceilings, but Scott offers the much higher floor at this particular venue.

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DFS Value: Paul Casey $7,400 DK / $9,600 FD

It's funny how a couple of rounds can change people's perception of a golfer. When salaries were first released for THE PLAYERS, everyone was quick to point out how cheap Casey was and how popular he was going to be. After shooting 17-over par on the weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the buzz around Casey is completely gone.

We've all had bad rounds of golf. If we zoom out, Casey is a perfect fit for the course and finished in the top five here last year. He has two wins in Florida and was in solid form prior to those two bad rounds at Bay Hill.

Prepare for carnage and best of luck this week!

Read more of Derek's content over at RotoGrinders.

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