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2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions Betting Pick: ‘The Gimme’ Prop Bet Features Justin Thomas & Jordan Spieth

2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions Betting Pick: ‘The Gimme’ Prop Bet Features Justin Thomas & Jordan Spieth article feature image

Tom Pennington/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Thomas (left) and Jordan Spieth.

Every week during the PGA TOUR season, “The Gimme,” our streaming show on the GolfBet platform, will offer an exclusive prop bet with boosted odds that is available through BetMGM. Here is the breakdown for this week’s Gimme prop.

Sentry Tournament of Champions Betting Odds

Click for full odds, as of Wednesday afternoon via BetMGM.
Justin Thomas+800
Jon Rahm+900
Bryson DeChambeau+1000
Collin Morikawa+1000
Patrick Cantlay+1200
Viktor Hovland+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Sam Burns+1600
Cameron Smith+2000
Daniel Berger+2000
Hideki Matsuyama+2000
Jordan Spieth+2000
Abraham Ancer+2500
Patrick Reed+2500
Sungjae Im+2500
Tony Finau+2800
Brooks Koepka+3000
Harris English+3300
Jason Kokrak+3300
Marc Leishman+3300
Talor Gooch+3300
Billy Horschel+6600
Kevin Na+6600
Max Homa+6600
Seamus Power+6600
Si Woo Kim+8000
Joel Dahmen+8000
Lucas Herbert+8000
Erik van Rooyen+10000
K.H. Lee+10000
Phil Mickelson+10000
Branden Grace+12500
Cam Davis+12500
Garrick Higgo+12500
Matt Jones+12500
Kevin Kisner+15000
Lucas Glover+15000
Stewart Cink+15000

Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth to each finish top-10: +350

I’m usually a fan of looking into top-five/top-10 props in tournaments with shortened fields. This ain’t rocket science: The fewer players in the field, the easier it is for one of ‘em to finish inside a certain number on the leaderboard.

This week’s event at Kapalua’s Plantation Course includes 38 players in the field and while it’s stacked with superstars — seven of the top-eight on the OWGR are in attendance — the winners-only caveat means that the bottom half of the field isn’t as talent-laden as, perhaps, the Tour Championship or some WGC events.

Betting a player to finish top-10 this week means he only needs to beat less than 75% of the field, rather than the usual 92% or so in a full field.

With that in mind, let’s get to our two protagonists for this week’s prop.

Bet Thomas & Spieth at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

In case you haven’t heard, Justin Thomas is pretty good around this place. In six career starts, he owns two victories and two top-five finishes. While the course certainly suits his game — and let’s face it, as one of the world’s best players, there aren’t many courses which don’t suit Thomas’ game — I believe that it’s as much about JT’s preparation that has led to his success here as anything else.

There are undoubtedly players coming into this week who might not have been grinding too much on the practice range during the recent holiday season and will use this week to still figure some things out. Thomas isn’t one of them. On the show this week, I’ll be taking him for a top-five, so it stands to reason that, yes, I do indeed like him for a top-10, as well.

That leaves new dad Jordan Spieth, who’s hoping for a little baby-bump/nappy-factor that we’ve seen from other first-time fathers who have found success in recent years.

“The Gimme” is live tonight at 8:30pm ET!

Tune in as @JasonSobelTAN and @amandagolf59 break down the Sentry Tournament of Champions ⛳️

— GolfBet (@GolfBet) January 5, 2022

Spieth understandably didn’t play too much golf during the fall portion of the 2021-22 PGA TOUR season, only competing in two events and finishing DFL at last month’s Hero World Challenge. Recent form doesn’t mean much when we’re coming off the only extended break of the season, though.

What matters more to me is the fact that, much like his good buddy JT, Spieth tends to prepare seriously for this event — and it’s shown in his previous results. In four prior starts at Kapalua, he owns a victory and nothing worse than a ninth-place showing.

There’s also further reason for optimism and it comes from Spieth himself.

“I feel really good,” he said Tuesday in advance of this week’s event. “I feel like this is the first off-season in quite a few years where it felt like I was very confident each day going out, that what I was doing was pushing me to the better. Instead of going out, getting frustrated over a couple days and trying something new, I stuck with the exact same game plan and just tried to continue to sharpen it.”

That’s all I needed to hear.

It’s a parlay prop where you’ll need both players to pull their weight, but a conservative one against a small field. I like each of these guys to come out firing and look like they’re in mid-year form this week.

The play: Bet the prop at +350

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