Updated 2022 Travelers Championship Odds, Expert Picks: 6 Outright Bets, Including Marc Leishman & Davis Riley

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It's been awhile, but we finally had a good week. Matt Fitzpatrick cashed the outright. Travis Vick hit the low amateur from the props column. Even longshot MJ Daffue held on to his top 40.

The major will always be the best tournaments for betting since we have the odds out for an entire year and can slowly accumulate some decent value through the year on the outrights, then focus on the expanded prop markets during the week.

Now, onto the Travelers, which has been a decent spot for us in the past, hitting Harris English here last year and having some success with Bubba Watson over the years.

We've got a strong field here, as well, so we'll see if there is any hangover from the U.S. Open among the favorites.

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The Course

TPC River Highlands is one of the shortest courses on the PGA TOUR, measuring a little under 6,900 yards for a par 70. Over the past decade, it’s been the shorter hitters who have been able to take advantage.

Outside of Watson, who has won three times here, it’s been guys like Jordan Spieth, Chez Reavie, Kevin Streelman and Ken Duke lifting the trophy on Sunday.

There are a few water hazards that come into play, but this course is pretty easy for these guys and the winning score usually ends up in the high teens. Very low numbers are in play at TPC River Highlands if the wind dies down. Jim Furyk owns the only 58 in PGA TOUR history here back in 2016.

The Favorites

At the top it's basically a three-way tie for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas who are all right around +1000 depending on where you look. Of the group, McIlroy has the best track record here with three top 20s. Thomas was third here in 2016 but has little success outside of that results. Scheffler has been outside the top 40 in both attempts here, but he's clearly a different player now.

Patrick Cantlay is right below them at +1400 with Sam Burns close behind at +1800. Cantlay quiet played well Sunday to sneak into 14th. He's also been inside the top 15 here four straight years and could be the real threat this week. Burns should be a solid fit, as well, if he can recover from a collapse yesterday that saw him drop outside the top 25.

In the +2000s, we've got Jordan Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Sungjae Im and Joaquin Niemann. Spieth has the win here five years ago but hasn't done much else since. Schauffele has a couple top 20s, and and Niemann was fifth here a few years ago.

There isn't anything overwhelming this course form from this range as a whole. Everyone's shown the ability to pop up here, but none have them have really done it on a consistent basis.

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The Mid-Tier

I love any reason to bet Davis Riley, and this week is no exception. We'll play him at +5000 on DraftKings. Riley slipped back over the weekend, but he still finished the U.S. Open seventh in Strokes Gained: Approach. He's usually pretty solid with the wedge game and is putting well. The course should be a good fit for him.

I'll also back Seamus Power here at +5000 on BetRivers. Power closed with a good ball-striking round and had a solid week overall with the approach. He's been inside the top 20 in three of his past four starts, and the lone missed cut there was due to losing four strokes with the putter at Memorial. But as Fitzpatrick showed with his missed cut, an awful putting week there isn't going to hold you out of the winner's circle soon after.

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We'll also go to Marc Leishman at +6600, also on BetRivers or BetMGM. Leishman wasn't at his best off the tee in Brookline, but everything else was in good shape last week on his way to finishing 14th. This has also been a good spot for him. He picked up his first PGA TOUR win on this course in 2012 and has five more top-25s since that result.

Next up is Denny McCarthy at +7500 on FanDuel. I imagine him, along with Leishman, will be fairly popular this week. McCarthy is coming off one of the best results of his career, finishing seventh last week. He's a guy who has always relied on that short game, but he did have some solid approach numbers and was slightly above field average off the tee. We've seen guys like Chez Reavie follow up a strong U.S. Open into a win here and McCarthy is a player who fits that mold for me this week.

The Longshots

It's been a few years since we've had someone come from this far down to win, but there was a stretch in the early 2010s where that was the normal occurrence.

Following a solid U.S. Open, we'll go with Joel Dahmen at 125-1 on bet365, which is the best number after his run in Brookline. If that number isn't available to you, Dahmen is 100-1 at DraftKings.

Dahmen finished 10th at the U.S. Open and was fourth on approach. The putter was notably cold, but he was hitting as many greens as anyone. His game has been solid for awhile now. He's made the cut in six of his last seven starts with the lone miss coming at the PGA Championship. If the approach game carries over, this should be a good course for him.

I'm also going with Aaron Rai at 150-1 on DraftKings. Rai missed out on the U.S. Open, but he played well at the Canadian Open, where he was 13th and gained over six strokes on approach. These shorter courses were always his strong suit when he played in Europe. Three of his five wins on the Euro and Challenge tours came on courses 6,800 yards or shorter. We've seen his name on the leaderboard a few times this year and the game appears to be heading in the right direction for a good week.

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Travelers Card

• Davis Riley +5000 (.66 units)
• Seamus Power +5000 (.6 units)
• Marc Leishman +6600 (.5 units)
• Denny McCarthy +7500 (.44 units)
• Joel Dahmen +12500 (.26 units)
• Aaron Rai +15000 (.22 units)

Total Stake: 2.68 units