2024 Scottish Open PrizePicks Plays for Thursday: Min Woo Lee & More

2024 Scottish Open PrizePicks Plays for Thursday: Min Woo Lee & More article feature image
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Via Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Min Woo Lee of Australia reacts after making birdie on the 17th green during the final round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club on June 30, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan.

Here's everything you need to know about 2024 Scottish Open PrizePicks plays for Thursday in this week's PGA Tour event in North Berwick, Scotland.

With the John Deere Classic in the rear-view mirror, we now look forward to this week's 2024 Scottish Open. The Renaissance Club in Scotland hosts once again, which it has done annually since 2019.

This European course is a par-70, 7,237-yard track designed by Tom Doak in 2008. This links-style venue rewards heavy hitters because the golf course has a lesser penalty for inaccuracy off the tee.

Last season, three of the top-five finishers ranked among the top seven in the field in both Driving Distance and Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, the only two statistics or metrics in which such a trend occurred.

Find my 2024 Scottish Open PrizePicks plays for Thursday below.

2024 Scottish Open PrizePicks

Corey Conners More Than 4 Birdies or Better

Without Scottie Scheffler in the field, there's a legitimate argument that Corey Conners is a top-three ball-striker in this field. He is a fantastic iron player who has utilized that part of his game to make the weekend in 25 consecutive tournaments, posting 13 top-25 finishes over that stretch.

Conners has improved year-over-year at The Renaissance Club, finishing 61st in 2022 and 19th last season. He recorded five birdies or better in two of his final three rounds here in 2023, a trend that should continue this week.

He ranks above the PGA Tour average in Birdie Average at 4.03 per round.


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Min Woo Lee Less Than 68 Strokes

I wrote about Min Woo Lee in my first-round-leader article this week, and if I like him to lead after the first round, then I obviously also like him to shoot 68 or lower in the process.

Lee won here in 2021, so course fit is clearly not a concern.

There's a legitimate argument that The Renaissance Club suits Lee's game just as much as anyone else in this field because he ranks third on the PGA Tour this season in average Driving Distance. He also enters this week in great form, finishing 26th or higher in six consecutive tournaments.

Lee gained strokes on the field in each of those six tournaments while also finishing well above the field in Driving Distance in all six starts. He was at least 18 yards over the average Driving Distance in relation to the field average in five of those six. This stretch culminated in a runner-up performance at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Matthieu Pavon Less Than 68.5 Strokes

Matthieu Pavon finished fifth at Pinehurst No. 2 in this year's U.S. Open, shooting a 67 in Thursday's opening round. If he can do that at that venue, then he absolutely can do so at The Renaissance Club.

Pavon's great form extends past that tournament, posting nine top-10 finishes over his past 23 events between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. This success could continue in Scotland, considering that he finished 36th here in 2022 and is a far better player now than he was back then.

The Frenchman fired off a 67 in the closing round that weekend.

For a more in-depth analysis of the Scottish Open, check out the Links + Locks Best Bets podcast.

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