The fourth and final round of the 2026 BMW Championship gets underway on Sunday at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, Missouri.
Wyndham Clark holds a five-shot lead over the rest of the field at 17-under par after the third round. With one day remaining, the tournament is his to lose.
Here are my picks and BMW Championship Round 4 best bets.
BMW Championship Round 4 Best Bets
Justin Thomas Top-20 (-136 at DraftKings)
Now is the time to buy low on Justin Thomas, who struggled in Saturday's third round. At -136, he is worth backing to play more similarly to the two scores of 67 he posted earlier in the week.
Accuracy is key at this venue. Bellerive Country Club penalizes errant shots due to its thick rough and abundance of deep bunkers and water hazards.
With accuracy off the tee and strong approach play necessary for success, Thomas is a great target in this market. He entered this tournament in great form with seven top-20 finishes over his past 10 events.
A similar finish could be in store this week, given that Thomas ranks in the 57th percentile in driving accuracy and the 82nd percentile in strokes gained: approach. It's also worth noting that he finished T6 here when Bellerive hosted the 2018 PGA Championship.
Robert MacIntyre Top-20 (-102 at FanDuel)
Another golfer worth targeting in this market is Robert MacIntyre. Producing a much stronger third round, MacIntyre is tied with Thomas for 15th at 5-under par.
At -102, it's worth taking a shot on MacIntyre to maintain this momentum as the tournament draws to a close.
Like Thomas, MacIntyre fits this course well.
This season, he ranks in the 57th percentile in driving accuracy and the 71st percentile in strokes gained: approach. MacIntyre also enters this week in good form with two top-10 finishes over his past four tournaments.
Once on the greens, putting could help separate those at the top of the leaderboard. Putting performance accounts for a greater share of overall strokes gained at Bellerive than at the average PGA Tour venue, increasing the importance of a strong putter this week.
That bodes well for MacIntyre, who enters this week ranked in the 94th percentile in strokes gained: putting.
