2018 British Open: Branden Grace Has Huge Upside at Carnoustie

Credit:

Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Branden Grace

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Branden Grace’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,900 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-64, T-36, T-20, T-72, T-6

Odds: +4000 to win, +300 top-10 finish, +150 top-20 finish, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +4000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Grace (-125) over Marc Leishman

Tee Times: 8:26 a.m. ET (Thursday); 3:25 a.m. ET (Friday)


The Outlook

Grace is a player who may not get a lot of attention going into this week, but he definitely has a game built for The Open Championship. He’s very accurate off the tee, and his low ball flight will be a big advantage in this wind this week. Remember: Grace shot 62 last year at Royal Birkdale en route to an sixth-place finish. Grace is a player who plays most of his golf in Europe, where he has won eight times; he is accustomed to links-style golf. He’s flying a little below the radar and has lots of upside.


The Metrics

Here’s how Grace ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-24th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-20th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 37th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 66th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 53rd
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-67th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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