2018 British Open: Why Brendan Steele’s Weaknesses Loom Large at Carnoustie

Jul 11, 2018 5:53 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Brendan Steele’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, MC, N/A, MC, MC

Odds: +50,000 to win, +2000 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +50,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Steele (-105) over Austin Cook (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 8:15 a.m. ET (Thursday); 3:14 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

One positive note for Steele: He ranks 25th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green this season. Now for the bad: Over the past 75 weeks, Steele has averaged +1.2 average adjusted strokes on par-4s, and he ranks 157th in Strokes Gained: Putting this season. Additionally, Steele can be sporadic off the tee, which could get him into trouble when the wind picks up because he’s an awful scrambler, evidenced by his 52% Long-Term Scrambling rate. His 10.9 bogeys per tournament over the past 75 weeks is the second-worst mark in the field.


The Metrics

Here’s how Steele ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-41st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-72nd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 21st
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-74th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 25th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-108th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brendan Steele

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32
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