2018 British Open: Why Bubba Watson Is a Poor Fit for Carnoustie

2018 British Open: Why Bubba Watson Is a Poor Fit for Carnoustie article feature image

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Bubba Watson

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. "Best odds value" and "Best matchup value" listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn't meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we're simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Bubba Watson's British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,800 DraftKings, $10,700 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, MC, MC, T-39, T-27

Odds: +8000 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +8000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Watson (-120) over Russell Knox

Tee Times: 9:48 a.m. ET (Thursday); 4:47 a.m ET (Friday)

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The Outlook

Watson has been the hottest player on Tour this year with three wins, and yet he’s still outside the favorites. The reason for it is clear: Bubba and the Open do not get along. He’s missed the cut four of nine times and has never finished in the top 20. There’s just no reason to believe that changes this year. Bubba’s wins have come on the tracks where he has a history of success. The Open isn’t that place.

The Metrics

Here's how Watson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-41st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-25th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 25th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-92nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 45th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-67th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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