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Jason Dufner’s Recent Form Conflicts with His British Open History

Jul 11, 2018 5:44 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Jason Dufner’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-26, T-51, T-58, T-22, T-14

Odds: +25,000 to win, +1200 top-10 finish, +450 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +450 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:32 a.m. ET (Thursday); 5:31 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Dufner’s metrics don’t jump off the page, but he’s managed to make six straight cuts at the British Open, along with back-to-back top 23 performances — including a T-14 last year. That said, he’d be hard to trust given he has missed five cuts in his past nine tournaments while finishing 42nd or worse in two others.


The Metrics

Here’s how Dufner ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-36th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-20th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 58th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-82nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 55th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jason Dufner

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32

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