No Value in Betting Justin Rose at Current U.S. Open Odds

No Value in Betting Justin Rose at Current U.S. Open Odds article feature image

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top-85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Justin Rose

DFS Pricing: $9,900 DraftKings, $12,200 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): Won, T12, T27, MC, MC

Odds: +1400 to win, +135 top-10 finish, -165 top-20 finish, -900 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -900 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Justin Rose (-140) over Rickie Fowler

Tee Times: 7:29 a.m. (Thursday); 1:14 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

There may not be a more popular pick to win this week than Justin Rose. And for good reason: The 2013 U.S. Open champion combines everything you could want in terms of recent form — dominating Colonial three weeks ago — and major pedigree. He’s a big enough threat that Bookmaker actually opened with him as the favorite at +1016. I don’t really think there’s too much value in betting him, but if he gets off to a slow start in the first round, the number could dip into the +2000s, and that’s when I’d consider jumping in.

The Metrics

Here’s how Rose ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T2nd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 8th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 26th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 19th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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