2018 British Open: Luke List Is a Boom-or-Bust Bet at Carnoustie

Credit:

Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Luke List

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Luke List’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,500 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A

Odds: +12,500 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +500 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: List (-135) over Chris Wood

Tee Times: 1:57 a.m. ET (Thursday), 6:58 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

List can hit the ball a mile (311.6-yard Long-Term Driving Distance), and he ranks fifth in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green this season. That said, he could struggle at Carnoustie if he’s constantly missing the narrow fairways. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, hitting just 53.6% of fairways, and in his last tournament hit just 39.3% of them. It’s also worrisome that List has made the cut in just one of his six major championship events.


The Metrics

Here’s how List ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-47th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-81st
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 5th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-67th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 40th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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