2018 British Open: Webb Simpson Lacks Upside at Carnoustie

Credit:

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Webb Simpson

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Webb Simpson’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $10,600 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-64, MC, T-40, T-39, T-37

Odds: +12,500 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +1000 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 3:25 a.m ET (Thursday): 8:26 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Webb and I are on good terms for life. I hit his U.S. Open win at 66-1 and the Players Championship bet at 100-1. He can never do wrong by me, but I won’t be backing him here. He’s a guy who makes the cut consistently at the Open, but hasn’t finished in the top 35 in seven years. He might be a good play to round out a fantasy roster, but he’s never really looked like a contender at this event.


The Metrics

Here’s how Simpson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-19th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-65th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 35th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-97th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 16th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-12th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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