Angels vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - June 3, 2023

Angels at Astros

12:10 am • SportsNet SW
2 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Framber Valdez logoF.ValdezHouston Astros logo3.4612-11
Shohei Ohtani logoS.OhtaniLos Angeles Angels logo3.1410-5

Angels at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels
16-26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Astros
16-26
N/A
N/A
N/A
location pinSaturday 12:10 a.m.
June 03, 2023
Daikin ParkHouston
Angels vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 96-94-9 (-0.5u)
Under 7.5-104
1.04u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 49-81-0 (-5.0u)
LAA +112
1u
FanDuel 8:02.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -133
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 29-32-0 (-3.6u)
HOU -132
0.76u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 47-47-1 (+3.4u)
F.Valdez u6.5 Ks-112
1.12u
Valdez has 3 high K pitches in his curve/cutter/change, but he throws a sinker ~50% of the time and it’s generated just a 14% whiff rate. In a matchup where the Angels will likely have ~8 RHB I expect Valdez to lean on his sinker even more, which will lower his expected K rate. I will like this under even more if Angels start Matt Thaiss instead of Chad Wallach (who would be Valdez’ most likely K victim). Projecting this closer to -155
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 190-186-8 (+2.3u)
LAA +110
0.5u
Under 4 (F5)+100
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 84-107-2 (+50.0u)
S.Ohtani u18.5 Outs-160
0.25u
Via @SBK5065
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 1-6-0 (-0.5u)
LAA +114
0.4u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 164-153-15 (-0.0u)
LAA -102 (F5)
0.51u
Bet to -106
Over 7.5-110
0.5u
Bet to -115
LAA +115
0.5u
Bet to +110
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 57-51-6 (+4.3u)
LAA +115
1u
Pitchers have very comparable estimators, but LAA (120) far better v LHP than HOU (95 wRC+) v RHP - HOU def only 1 Run Prevented better - They do have a larger pen eddge, but no F5 available on FD & wouldn't go much below this line as I have it essentially even.

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Angels vs. Astros Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Angels vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Angels

Public

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
16-258-118-144-1112-13
Angels
20-2110-810-135-415-17

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
25-14-214-511-9-29-615-8-2
Angels
19-226-1213-102-717-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
16-259-107-155-1011-14
Angels
16-258-108-154-512-20

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 2ndLAAW 5-2---
Jun 1stMINL 2-8---
May 31stMINW 5-1---
May 29thMINL 5-7---
May 28th@ATHW 10-1---

Angels vs. Astros Injury Updates

Angels Injuries

  • Anthony Rendon
    IF

    Rendon is out with hip

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    P

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Ryan Johnson
    P

    Ryan Johnson (illness) scratched Sunday. George Klassen will start for the Angels.

    Out

Astros Injuries

    Angels vs. Astros Box Score
    Angels Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Shohei Ohtani logoRS.Ohtani, P107665
    Chase Silseth logoRC.Silseth, P39221
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Shohei Ohtani logo1S.Ohtani, DH0-4000
    Shohei Ohtani logo1S.Ohtani, DH0-4000
    Mike Trout logo2M.Trout, CF0-4000
     Drury logo3B.Drury, 2B2-4101
    Taylor Ward logo4T.Ward, LF3-4001
    Hunter Renfroe logo5H.Renfroe, RF1-4000
     Urshela logo6G.Urshela, 3B1-4000
    Jared Walsh logo7J. Walsh, 1B1-3000
     Wallach logo8C.Wallach, C0-3000
    Matt Thaiss logo8M.Thaiss, PH0-0000
    Zach Neto logo9Z.Neto, SS0-1000
    Luis Rengifo logo9L.Rengifo, SS1-2100
    Astros Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Framber Valdez logoLF.Valdez, P92770
    Phil Maton logoRP.Maton, P25101
    Bryan Abreu logoRB.Abreu, P21110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B0-4000
    Jeremy Pena logo2J.Pena, SS1-3200
    Yordan Alvarez logo3Y.Alvarez, LF2-4212
    Alex Bregman logo4A.Bregman, 3B1-3001
    Kyle Tucker logo5K.Tucker, RF2-4001
    Jose Abreu logo6J.Abreu, 1B1-4000
    Chas McCormick logo7C.McCormick, CF3-4100
    Corey Julks logo8C.Julks, DH1-4112
    Martin Maldonado logo9M.Maldonado, C0-4000

    Angels vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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    Angels at Astros Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Angels
    16-26
    N/A
    N/A
    Astros
    16-26
    N/A
    N/A