Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Braves at Marlins

11:10 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-0

8 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5-125	o9-108	-200
Marlins 0-0	+1.5+105	u9-112	+165

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 12, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

ATL -1.5-125

$3.20

Over 8.5-120

$3.33

Over 8.5-117

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

ATL -190

0.53u

J.Burger u0.5 Hits+140

1.4u

Burgers all day

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for highest in MLB. Marlins right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins have struck out just 19% over the last week -- 10th lowest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are 33-47 (.412) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Marlins are 28-19 (.596) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Marlins are 57-10 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Austin Riley is slugging .538 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 74.3 MPH (3 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 -- the longest active streak is 8.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 80.0 MPH (16 batted balls) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (163 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180
Apr 8th	@NYY	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +130
Apr 7th	@STL	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 9	MIA +120
Apr 6th	@STL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	STL +125

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	84	6.1	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	3-4	2	1	3
6A.Duvall, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	3-5	2	0	1
9T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	80	5	5	2
RG.Soriano, P	25	1.2	1	3
LA.Nardi, P	17	0	0	2
RB.Smith, P	16	0.1	0	0
RM.Andriese, P	26	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-2	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0
6A.Garcia, RF	1-4	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	1-4	0	1
8N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0
8J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, SS	0-3	0	0