Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2024

Nationals at Braves

8:10 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

30-37

8 - 4

Atlanta Braves

29-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
M.Parker			4.29	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 30-37	+1.5-110	o9-110	+175
Braves 29-38	-1.5-110	u9-110	-210

Monday 8:10 p.m.

May 27, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9-122

ATL -175 (F5)

0.44u

M.Parker o15.5 Outs+104

1.04u

Parker is over this line in 4/L6. Pitching efficiently with only 3.73 pitches per PA. Braves have been mortal over the last 30 days vs lefties (105 wRC+ and .716 OPS - both close to league avg), and now without Acuna. Parker’s high GB rate should come into play too - .707 OPS for the Braves as a team vs GB pitchers is essentially league average and the Braves worse split.

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 44% against the Nationals this season -- worst in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

MLB NRFI Picks And Model Predictions for Monday
Billy Ward•
May 27, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Eddie Rosario is batting just .164 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .182 (74-for-407) on Charlie Morton breaking pitches since last season -- tied for 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .877 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 38 of 342 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 15-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Braves' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	29-38	14-17	15-21	20-31	9-7
Nationals	35-32	17-16	18-16	2-6	33-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	26-36-5	9-19-3	17-17-2	21-27-3	5-9-2
Nationals	31-35-1	15-18	16-17-1	3-5	28-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	29-38	17-14	12-24	25-26	4-12
Nationals	30-37	15-18	15-19	3-5	27-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	@PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -238
May 25th	@PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -154
May 24th	@PIT	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9	PIT -180
May 23rd	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL +101
May 22nd	@CHC	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -134

Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
P
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
P
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	100	6.1	6	3
RD.Law, P	20	0.2	0	1
RH.Harvey, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	15	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-4	1	1	2
2L.Thomas, RF	2-5	1	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
4E.Rosario, LF	1-4	2	0	1
5K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	0	0
6J.Winker, DH	2-4	2	0	1
7N.Senzel, 3B	2-4	1	0	2
8J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	3-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	103	5.2	7	8
RJ.Chavez, P	20	1.1	1	0
RJ.Herget, P	25	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Duvall, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7M.Harris, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	0	0	1
9J.Kelenic, LF	0-3	0	0	0