Adding to position.

Per Evan Abrams: Since 2004, outdoor Wild Card games are 49-23 (68%) to the under. Add to that, this is the 2nd meeting between these 2 teams, another element that typically tilts to the under.

Per Evan Abrams: Since 2004, outdoor Wild Card games are 49-23 (68%) to the under. Add to that, the Patriots offense hasn’t gone up against a top 10 EPA/play defense since week 8 and we have a 2nd year QB in Drake Maye making his first playoff start.

Chargers 4-0 SU as dogs this season, Drake Maye is making his 1st career playoff start vs. a QB with playoff experience. QBs making their first playoff start vs QBs who have playoff experience are 20-39-1 ATS (34%) and 20-40 SU since 2002. Something to consider for New England: Milton Williams being back on the d-line is huge. From week 10 to week 18, the Pats run D allowed 131 yards on the ground per game. almost perfectly coincides with his absence. But I’m still fading this team. The Pats beat up on some bad defenses themselves throughout the season – they haven’t played a top 10 defense since week 8. (pre-halloween)

Sweetener on my LAC +3.5 bet.