Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Nationals at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Washington Nationals

38-58

7 - 2

Atlanta Braves

42-53

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
M.Gore			3.90	10-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 38-58	+1.5-162	o8.5-105	+126
Braves 42-53	-1.5+136	u8.5-115	-150

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

May 29, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

M.Gore u6.5 Ks-134

1.34u

M.Gore o15.5 Outs-105

He’s over in 6/10 starts including 3/L3. Actually has pitched well against the current Braves roster (they are 7/44 against him - it was Acuna he struggled with), and the Braves are just not hitting right now: 100 wRC+ and .700 OPS vs lefties over the L30 days. Gore can be a bit wild, but the Braves swing a ton, with the 7th highest chase rate and third highest swing rate overall.

ATL -150

0.75u

Superbook. Bet to -155

WSH +134

1.34u

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Featured Insight
The Braves are batting .246 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .252 (1,353-for-5,368) against Nationals RPs since the 2022 season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .876 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

37% of Austin Riley strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 48% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (122/226) this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (41/112) against MacKenzie Gore this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 19-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Braves' 46 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	39-56	20-26	19-30	29-45	10-11
Nationals	47-49	19-27	28-22	2-12	45-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	38-51-6	15-28-3	23-23-3	29-41-4	9-10-2
Nationals	50-43-3	24-22	26-21-3	5-9	45-34-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	42-53	24-22	18-31	37-37	5-16
Nationals	38-58	18-28	20-30	4-10	34-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	WSH	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -252
May 27th	WSH	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	WSH -210
May 26th	@PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -238
May 25th	@PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -154
May 24th	@PIT	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9	PIT -180

Chris Sale
SP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdomen
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
CJ Abrams
SS
CJ Abrams has been scratched Sunday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	97	5.1	10	1
RD.Floro, P	8	0.2	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	12	0.2	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	21	1.1	3	0
RJ.Weems, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	3-4	2	1	3
3J.Winker, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	2-5	0	0	2
6E.Rosario, LF	2-5	1	0	0
7N.Senzel, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, PR	1-3	1	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	88	5	5	3
LA.Bummer, P	23	1	1	2
LA.Minter, P	26	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	11	1	0	0
RP.Johnson, P	25	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	1
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	0	0