Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

5:10 pm • BSWI

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

2 - 10

Milwaukee Brewers

34-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Gasser			2.57	2-0
M.Perez			5.21	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-166	o8-115	+129
Brewers 34-20	-1.5+140	u8-107	-153

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

May 15, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

PIT +100 (F5)

0.5u

MIL -151

0.66u

Over 8-115

0.87u

MIL -141

0.5u

MIL -142

MIL -135

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -145

MIL o4.5+112

0.56u

Perez 4.25 SIERA, 5.11 xERA/78 Stuff+ - MIL 117/90/133 wRC+ Hm/v LHP/L30 days - PIT defense is bottom quarter of the league and their overworked pen has the third worst estimators in MLB L30 days.

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last week -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Brewers RPs over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .218 (285-for-1,305) against Brewers RPs with RISP since the 2022 season -- best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .236 with RISP since the 2022 season -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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Pirates vs. Brewers: Lefty Starters Should Thrive
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May 15, 2024 UTC
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The Brewers are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .385 (10-for-26) against Martin Perez with two-strikes over the last 14 days -- highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .160 -- second Percentile.

Robert Gasser has allowed an OPS of just .255 (20 PA's) over the past seven days (1 games) -- 2nd best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .642 -- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 38% (39/103) against Martin Perez this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

Robert Gasser allowed an OPS of just .255 (20 PA's) -- 4th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .668 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Brewers' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-22	18-12	14-10	20-14	12-8
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	24-29-1	13-17	11-12-1	16-17-1	8-12
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	34-20	19-11	15-9	23-11	11-9
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	PIT	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -161
May 13th	PIT	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -142
May 12th	STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -155
May 11th	STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -185
May 11th	STL	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	86	5	4	9
RL.Ortiz, P	48	2	5	1
RR.Ryan, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	3-4	2	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Suwinski, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
4O.Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Williams, SS	0-1	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Bart, C	2-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Gasser, P	82	5	2	1
RJ.Payamps, P	14	1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	14	1	1	1
RM.White, P	25	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Contreras, DH	3-5	1	1	4
2W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ortiz, 2B	2-2	2	1	1
4G.Sanchez, C	2-5	1	1	2
5B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Roller, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5C.Roller, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Monasterio, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7O.Miller, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	2-4	2	1	2
9S.Frelick, RF	3-4	3	1	1