Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2024

Pirates at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

8 - 6

Milwaukee Brewers

34-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-177	o8.5-102	+120
Brewers 34-20	-1.5+147	u8.5-119	-142

Monday 11:40 p.m.

May 13, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

R.Hoskins o0.5 HR+400

0.2u

R.Hoskins o1.5 Total Bases+144

0.5u

MIL -116 (F5)

0.58u

PIT 88/75/90 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, MIL 117/122/123 - PIT bottom 3 def

MIL -1.5+150

C.Rea u5.5 Ks-160

0.5u

MIL -141

0.71u

C.Rea u4.5 Ks+122

$100.00

Over 8.5+100

MIL -137

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

0.5u

PIT +0.5 (F5)-135

PIT +110 (F5)

1.1u

C.Rea u4.5 Ks+135

0.74u

M.Keller u6.5 Ks-165

MIL -134

0.67u

MIL -1.5+162

0.5u

MIL -130

Bet to -143. Reduce risk past -130

Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season -- lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in just 39% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 63-48 (.568) after a win since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

William Contreras has an OPS of .856 since the 2022 season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .838 (467 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third worst among qualified RPs-- first Percentile.

35% of Brice Turang strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- third highest among hitters with at least 541 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 48% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Colin Rea has struck out just 14% (13/94) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .282 (161-for-571) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Brewers' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-22	18-12	14-10	20-14	12-8
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	24-29-1	13-17	11-12-1	16-17-1	8-12
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	34-20	19-11	15-9	23-11	11-9
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -155
May 11th	STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -185
May 11th	STL	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125
May 9th	STL	W 7-1	-	-	-
May 8th	@KC	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +102

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	100	6	7	0
LJ.Fleming, P	40	1	1	5
RH.Stratton, P	21	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-5	2	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	5-5	1	1	2
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	1
4J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	2
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	1	2
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	103	6	5	3
RT.Vieira, P	19	0.1	0	2
RM.White, P	23	1.2	1	2
RJ.Payamps, P	25	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Monasterio, PH	0-0	1	0	0
1A.Monasterio, 2B	0-0	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	3-5	1	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0	2
5R.Hoskins, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
5B.Perkins, PR	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Perkins, CF	1-4	1	0	0
6S.Frelick, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
6G.Sanchez, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
8J.Bauers, LF	2-4	1	1	4
8J.Bauers, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
8J.Bauers, RF	2-4	1	1	4
9J.Chourio, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, LF	0-4	0	0	0