Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Cardinals at Brewers

12:10 am • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

2 - 11

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Gasser			2.57	2-0
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5	+1.5-190	o8.5-114	+105
Brewers 3-6	u8.5	-1.5+160	u8.5-106	-125

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

STL +108

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-107

MIL -115 (F5)

0.43u

Flat to -120

MIL -115

0.5u

Bet to -123

W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage here and +ev bet with devig odds of -105 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against LHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Cardinals RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Willy Adames struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Ryan Helsley had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Jake Bauers has struck out in 36% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest among hitters with at least 294 total PA's-- first Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Cardinals	80-82	41-40	39-42	25-42	54-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Cardinals	81-74-7	39-39-3	42-35-4	33-29-5	47-45-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Cardinals	78-84	44-37	34-47	33-34	44-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 9th	STL	W 7-1	-	-	-
May 8th	@KC	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +102
May 7th	@KC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +112
May 6th	@KC	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC +119
May 5th	@CHC	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 6.5	CHC -142

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Coleman Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Masyn Winn
SS
Masyn Winn (knee) has been scratched Friday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	85	4.2	5	4
LM.Liberatore, P	13	0.1	1	2
RK.Leahy, P	42	1.1	2	4
RC.Roycroft, P	32	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Fermin, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1J.Fermin, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Gorman, 2B	1-1	1	1	1
5I.Herrera, C	1-2	1	0	0
6A.Burleson, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7D.Carlson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Gasser, P	79	6	4	0
RK.Herget, P	45	3	0	2
RK.Herget, P	45	3	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	1-3	3	0
3C.Yelich, DH	2-4	2	1
3A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0
3A.Monasterio, 2B	0-1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	3-4	2	2
5R.Hoskins, 1B	2-3	0	2
5J.Chourio, PR	0-0	1	0
5J.Chourio, LF	0-0	1	0
6S.Frelick, RF	1-4	1	2
7B.Perkins, CF	0-4	0	0
8J.Bauers, LF	2-3	1	2
8J.Bauers, 1B	2-3	1	2
9J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0
9O.Dunn, 3B	0-1	0	0