Pirates vs Marlins Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - August 13, 2026

Pirates at Marlins

5:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

13 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Phillips			3.34	5-6
B.Ashcraft			3.65	14-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+134	o8-110	-119
Marlins 0-0	u7.5	+1.5-164	u8-111	+110

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

August 13, 2026

loanDepot parkMiami

Over 7.5-120

PIT -120

B.Ashcraft o17.5 Outs-107

Under 4.5 (F5)-124

PIT -125 (F5)

1.5u

This is mainly a bet on the starting pitching advantage with Braxton Ashcraft over Tyler Phillips. Ashcraft’s 4.08 ERA doesn’t really tell the full story of how well he’s pitched this season. His xERA is 3.43, along with a 3.64 FIP and 3.23 xFIP. Ashcraft is a positive regression candidate and has shown us how good he can be. His underlying numbers are much stronger than the results on the surface, and I think he can bounce back from this rough stretch. The Marlins are also just 21st in wRC+ over the last month. On the other side, Tyler Phillips has been solid on the surface with a 3.47 ERA, but that’s a deceiving number. Phillips owns a 4.93 xERA, 4.60 FIP, and 4.53 xFIP. He’s a major regression candidate and gets hard hit 44.8% of the time. Phillips is also striking out just 17% of batters. Regression is coming for him, and I think we see it here against a Pirates lineup that ranks 3rd in wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Our model makes the Pirates -293 favorites through five innings, so I’ll gladly take this price. Give me the Pirates F5 Moneyline.

B.Ashcraft u5.5 Hits Allowed-140

T.Phillips o3.5 Ks-113

0.5u

Boost used

MIA +114

PIT -120

Our SEVEN MLB Best Bets for Thursday Afternoon's Six-Game Slate
Action Network Staff•
Aug 13, 2026 UTC
Top Prop Edge for Pirates vs Marlins
Action Network Staff•
Aug 13, 2026 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	39-42	40-41	32-37	47-44
Pirates	80-82	39-42	41-40	38-44	41-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	82-77-3	37-44	45-33-3	31-38	50-38-3
Pirates	81-75-6	47-32-2	34-43-4	45-35-2	34-39-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	80-82	47-34	33-48	42-27	38-53
Pirates	82-80	44-37	38-43	47-35	34-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 12th	PIT	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA -116
Aug 11th	PIT	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	MIA +100
Aug 9th	LAA	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA -145
Aug 8th	LAA	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA -147
Aug 7th	LAA	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAA -146

Maximo Acosta
IF
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
P
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ashcraft, P		85	9	10	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 1B	2-6	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, DH	1-6	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Garcia, LF	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
5E.Valdez, RF	2-5	2	0	0
6J.Gonzalez, SS	1-4	2	1	2
6J.Brannigan, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7J.Mangum, CF	3-4	3	0	1
8J.Triolo, 3B	3-4	3	1	3
8J.Triolo, SS	3-4	3	1	3
9R.Flores, C	2-5	2	2	6

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Phillips, P	92	5.1	6	4
LC.Gibson, P	37	1.2	3	1
LJ.King, P	21	0.2	0	3
RJ.Sanoja, P	29	1.1	0	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Marsee, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2X.Edwards, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Conine, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4G.Pauley, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Ramirez, C	0-3	0	0	0
6L.Jimenez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7O.Caissie, RF	1-3	1	1	1
8J.Sanoja, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Ruiz, LF	0-3	0	0	0