Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Reds at White Sox

11:40 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

11 - 1

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			4.95	3-15
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	-1.5-112	o9.5+100	-176
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-108	u9.5-120	+148

Friday 11:40 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

Over 9.5-112

$3.57

Under 5 (F5)-105

0.53u

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-158

0.32u

Ballpark pal projects 3.73 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of -205 providing value at this number

J.Fraley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

A.Abbott o15.5 Outs-130

CIN -165 (F5)

0.3u

W.Benson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-135

0.37u

W.Benson o0.5 HR+300

0.25u

Payoff pitch incoming with logic for these

S.Steer To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+118

1.18u

Over 9-114

0.5u

Bet to 9.5 (-112)

Featured Insight
The Reds scored three or more runs in an inning 92 times (6%) last season -- 10th highest in MLB. White Sox allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played last season -- seventh highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Reds have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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The White Sox are just 49-37 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Reds are just 26-12 (.684) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Reds are 14-69 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The White Sox are just 8-22 (.267) after a road win since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .708 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .544 (565 PAs) since the 2022 season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.0 MPH against his fastballs since last season (152 balls in play) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 91.0

Andrew Abbott has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.4 MPH against his fastballs since last season (151 balls in play) -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 91.0

Chris Flexen has an ERA of 5.91 (10.2 IP)this season -- tied for 15th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.51 -- 15th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 32% (8 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- eighth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of White Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	94-68	47-34	47-34	0-2	92-66
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	75-80-7	42-34-5	33-46-2	0-2	73-78-7
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	60-102	33-48	27-54	1-1	58-100
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197
Apr 7th	@KC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	KC +110
Apr 6th	@KC	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9.5	KC +195

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	103	7	3	1
RE.Pagan, P	11	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
2W.Benson, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Benson, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-4	1	0	3
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	2-5	2	0	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	2	1	3
7T.Stephenson, C	1-4	2	1	1
8N.Martini, DH	1-5	1	0	0
9S.Espinal, 3B	2-4	0	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	67	2.2	2	6
LJ.Shuster, P	58	3.1	2	1
RD. García, P	21	1	1	0
RJ.Anderson, P	31	1	1	2
LT.Hill, P	24	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	1-4	0	1
2L.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0
4K.Pillar, CF	1-3	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-3	0	0
6P.DeJong, SS	0-3	0	0
7K.Lee, DH	1-3	0	0
8Z.Remillard, 2B	1-3	1	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0