Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 13, 2024

Reds at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

5 - 0

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Crochet			3.58	6-12
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	-1.5+130	o7.5-115	-130
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-155	u7.5-105	+110

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

April 13, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

N. Lodolo o6.5 Ks+104

0.52u

K.Pillar u0.5 Hits+140

0.5u

Riding with @SBK5065

G.Crochet o16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

CWS +100 (F5)

G.Crochet u6.5 Ks+110

0.5u

Ballpark pal predicts 5.87 Ks and +EV with devig odds of -123 giving is value at this number

CWS +109

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 6.3 runs per game over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games). The White Sox have allowed 5.8 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
White Sox have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Reds have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 26-12 (.684) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

68% of Paul DeJong fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among hitters with at least 502 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 66% of Nick Lodolo fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Luis Robert has 24 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 11th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total CB-- 95th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed an OBP of just .179 (67 PA's) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 -- 98th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet's has 15 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season -- tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (157/515) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 50% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of White Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	94-68	47-34	47-34	0-2	92-66
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	75-80-7	42-34-5	33-46-2	0-2	73-78-7
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	60-102	33-48	27-54	1-1	58-100
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 12th	CIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +148
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197
Apr 7th	@KC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	KC +110

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LN.Lodolo, P	91	5.2	10
RF.Cruz, P	12	1.1	3
LB.Suter, P	40	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-3	1	0
2S.Steer, LF	1-3	0	3
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	1	0
5S.Fairchild, RF	1-4	1	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-2	1	0
8L.Maile, C	1-3	1	2
9B.Thompson, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LG.Crochet, P	92	4.2	10	5
RD. García, P	19	1.1	2	0
RD.Leone, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Leasure, P	16	1	2	0
RM.Kopech, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Grossman, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Sheets, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, RF	1-2	0	0	0
5L.Sosa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6P.DeJong, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Lopez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7Z.Remillard, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Shewmake, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7B.Shewmake, SS	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Fletcher, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0