AL, NL Cy Young Odds at MLB Midpoint

AL, NL Cy Young Odds at MLB Midpoint article feature image

Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images Pictured: Corbin Burnes of the Baltimore Orioles

We’ve reached the midpoint of the 2024 MLB season, so now’s as good a time as any to check in on each league’s Cy Young race.

In the American League, Corbin Burnes is the only pitcher that was a top-five favorite in Spring Training who currently ranks in the top 10. Gerrit Cole (+500) entered the year favored to win his second straight Cy Young but missed nearly the first three months of the season rehabbing an elbow injury. Meanwhile, Kevin Gausman — who had the second-best odds (+700) — has been a disaster. Burnes, Pablo López and Framber Valdez were all listed at +1000 to round out the top five, but the latter two have disappointed as well.

Meanwhile, Burnes is the current leader in the clubhouse at +200. He won the award in the NL in 2021 and is looking to become the eighth pitcher to win it in both leagues, joining Gaylord Perry, Pedro Martinez, Randy Johnson, Roger Clemens, Roy Halladay, Max Scherzer and Blake Snell. Burnes is 9-3 in his first season in Baltimore with a 2.32 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 105 strikeouts.

He’s in a battle with Tarik Skubal, whose odds are only a hair behind him at +220. The Tigers ace missed most of last season but is dominating this year. He has an identical 9-3 record with 119 punchouts, which ranks seventh in MLB. He’s also tied for the fourth-best WHIP (0.93) and has the fifth-best ERA (2.45). Skubal had the eight-best odds to win the Cy Young during Spring Training (+2200).

The pitcher with the third-best odds at the midpoint is Garrett Crochet, who has come out of nowhere to emerge as a true ace for the White Sox. Crochet leads the majors in strikeouts (141) and ranks third in WHIP (0.93) to go along with a 3.02 ERA and 6-6 record.

AL Cy Young Award Odds

Odds via FanDuel as of July 4.

Corbin Burnes+200
Tarik Skubal+220
Garrett Crochet+850
Logan Gilbert+1200
Tanner Houck+1700
Seth Lugo+1700
Luis Castillo+2500
Cole Ragans+2500
Jack Flaherty+2500
George Kirby+3500
Joe Ryan+4800
Pablo Lopez+5500
Grayson Rodriguez+7000
Framber Valdez+7500
Chris Bassitt+10000
Bryce Miller+10000
Tanner Bibee+10000
Jose Berrios+10000
Luis Gil+10000
Nathan Eovaldi+13000
Ronel Blanco+13000
Marcus Stroman+15000
Yusei Kikuchi+18000
Taj Bradley+18000
Ryan Pepoit+18000
Gerrit Cole+20000
Kevin Gausman+20000
Zach Eflin+20000
Brady Singer+20000
Emmanuel Clase+20000
Carlos Rodon+20000
Erick Fedde+20000

In the National League, Atlanta's Spencer Strider (+550) was favored heading into the season. However, he made only two starts this season before suffering a UCL sprain in his right elbow. He reportedly won’t be back on the mound until early next season at best.

The pitcher with the second-best odds entering the year was Zack Wheeler (+850), and he’s currently favored to win his first Cy Young (+180). Wheeler is 9-4 on the year with a 2.74 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 119 strikeouts.

Right behind him is Chris Sale (+270), who is enjoying a renaissance with the Braves after several injury-plagued campaigns with the Red Sox. He's tied for the best record in baseball (11-3) and has the best WHIP (0.91) of any pitcher. Sale also ranks fourth in strikeouts (127) and eighth in ERA (2.71) as he aims for his first Cy Young.

Meanwhile, Tyler Glasnow is another pitcher with a history of injuries who made the switch to the National League this year.  He ranks third in the NL Cy Young race at +700. Glasnow has been phenomenal for the Dodgers, ranking second in all of baseball in strikeouts (136) and is tied with Skubal for the fourth-best WHIP (0.93). He’s also 8-5 with a 3.23 ERA.

NL Cy Young Award Odds

Odds via FanDuel as of July 4.

Zack Wheeler+180
Chris Sale+270
Tyler Glasnow+700
Ranger Suarez+750
Max Fried+850
Reynaldo Lopez+2500
Sonny Gray+3000
Logan Webb+3500
Aaron Nola+4800
Cristopher Sanchez+5500
Paul Skenes+6500
Hunter Greene+7500
Mackenzie Gore+7500
Shota Imanaga+7500
Freddy Peralta+10000
Mitch Keller+10000
Dylan Cease+10000
Zac Gallen+13000
Michael King+20000
Andrew Abbott+20000
Brandon Pfaadt+20000
Luis Severino+20000
Justin Steele+20000
Nick Lodolo+20000
Jordan Hicks+20000

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