The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds on September 13, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -199 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +164 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
- Reds vs Brewers Pick: Robert Gasser Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-135, bet365)
My Reds vs Brewers best bet is on Robert Gasser to go over his strikeouts total . Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Brewers Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +110 | 8 -111o / -105u | +164 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -132 | 8 -111o / -105u | -199 |
- Reds vs Brewers moneyline: Reds +164, Brewers -199
- Reds vs Brewers over/under: 8 (-111o / -105u)
- Reds vs Brewers spread: Brewers -1.5 (+110 ), Reds +1.5 (-132)
Reds vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Chase Burns (RHP, CIN) | Stat | Robert Gasser (LHP, MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 15-3 | W-L | 4-5 |
| 4.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 2.73/3.17 | ERA / xERA | 4.43/4.20 |
| 3.10/3.41 | FIP / xFIP | 4.4474.36 |
| 20.8% | K-BB% | 14.6% |
| 36.9% | GB% | 32.3% |
| .287 | BABIP | .287 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 102 | Location+ | 95 |
Reds vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers continue to assert dominance at home, entering Sunday's rubber match on a blistering stretch and sitting comfortably atop the NL Central with a 93-56 record.
Milwaukee’s offense has done heavy lifting throughout this series, scoring 33 runs over the course of three games, capitalizing on Cincinnati's pitching struggles.
The Reds (74-75) come into Sunday looking to salvage the final game of the set behind blue-chip starter Chase Burns (15-3, 2.73 ERA).
Burns has posted elite swing-and-miss numbers all season, holding a 10.68 K/9. Opposite him, Milwaukee sends left-hander Robert Gasser (4-5, 4.43 ERA) to the mound for his 18th outing of the year.
While Cincinnati's dynamic rotation features top-end potential, the Reds' bullpen has been tested late in games. Meanwhile, Milwaukee holds a clear advantage in depth, backed by a sub-3.50 relief ERA that often locks down late innings
Reds vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO system flagged value on Gasser going over his strikeouts total.
Across 91.1 innings pitched this season, Gasser has accumulated 87 strikeouts—good for an 8.58 K/9 rate. His underlying metrics show he consistently relies on deceptive arm angles and a high-spin slider to generate whiffs, making 5+ strikeouts well within reach on a standard pitch count.
Although Gasser's length has fluctuated between 4.1 and 5.1 innings over his past three starts, his strikeout floor has remained solid:
- Sept. 7 vs. CHC: 4.2 IP, 5 Ks
- Sept. 1 vs. CHC: 4.1 IP, 4 Ks
- Aug. 26 @ NYM: 5.1 IP, 6 Ks
He has cleared or hit 5 strikeouts in two of his last three appearances despite pitching under 5.0 full innings. If he works into the 5th or 6th inning Sunday, his projected total scales closer to 5.2 Ks.
The Reds' lineup ranks near the top half of the league in overall strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. Cincinnati's aggressive approach early in counts gives southpaws with strong breaking pitches ample put-away opportunities.
Pick: Robert Gasser Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-135, bet365)
