The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals on September 13, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -184 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Royals are +154 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Royals vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Royals vs Red Sox Prediction
- Royals vs Red Sox Picks: NRFI (-138) & F5 Under 3.5 Runs (+114)
My Royals vs Red Sox best bets are on no runs in the first inning and the under total runs in the first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Royals vs Red Sox Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -162 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | +154 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +134 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | -184 |
- Royals vs Red Sox moneyline: Royals +154, Red Sox -184
- Royals vs Red Sox over/under: 7.5 (-100o / -122u)
- Royals vs Red Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+134), Royals +1.5 (-162)
Royals vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Noah Cameron (LHP, KCR) | Stat | Payton Tolle (LHP, BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | W-L | 9-6 |
| 3.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.7 |
| 3.93/3.98 | ERA / xERA | 3.15/2.70 |
| 3.62/4.05 | FIP / xFIP | 3.10/3.51 |
| 14.1% | K-BB% | 22.1% |
| 39.0% | GB% | 36.0% |
| .278 | BABIP | .286 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 115 |
| 105 | Location+ | 100 |
Royals vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
Royals' lefty Noah Cameron will get the start while youngster Payton Tolle will start for the Red Sox.
In 24 outings this season, Tolle has been excellent, recording an impressive 3.15 ERA along with a remarkably efficient 1.08 WHIP.
Like Tolle, Cameron enters Sunday’s contest in elite form, having recorded a quality start in six of his last nine appearances.
Though the Red Sox lineup has been arguably the hottest in baseball since the All-Star break, Boston has several left-handed hitters, which should give the Royals’ veteran somewhat of a platoon edge on Sunday.
Given how impressive both starters have been over the last couple of months, I think this is a great spot for no runs to be scored in the first inning.
Secondly, I will be looking to target the first five total to go under 3.5 in a matchup where runs are expected to come at a premium with two scorching starting pitchers.
Pick: NRFI (-138) & F5 Under 3.5 Runs (+114)
