The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on September 13, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Braves are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
- Phillies vs Braves Pick: Braves -1.5 (+155, DraftKings) | Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 HRR (-138, DraftKings) | Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110, DraftKings)
My Phillies vs Braves best bet is on Atlanta to cover and Ronald Acuna to go over his HRR and bases total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Braves Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +155 | 9 -100o / -114u | +110 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -190 | 9 -100o / -114u | -132 |
- Phillies vs Braves moneyline: Phillies +110, Braves -132
- Phillies vs Braves over/under: 9 (-100o / -114u)
- Phillies vs Braves spread: Braves -1.5 (+155 ), Phillies +1.5 (-190)
Phillies vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| Andrew Painter (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Grant Holmes (RHP, ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | W-L | 9-5 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 5.71/4.56 | ERA / xERA | 3.46/4.74 |
| 4.78/4.39 | FIP / xFIP | 4.61/4.49 |
| 12.0% | K-BB% | 9.1% |
| 41.4% | GB% | 43.0% |
| .303 | BABIP | .256 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 102 | Location+ | 101 |
Phillies vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
Rookie pitcher Andrew Painter will take the mound for the Phillies, looking to bounce back from what has been a rough season, while Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves.
Painter has recorded a whopping 5.71 ERA throughout his 110.1 innings, and I expect his struggles to continue as he prepares to face a scorching-hot Braves lineup on Sunday afternoon.
In six previous at-bats against Painter, Braves’ superstar OF Ronald Acuña Jr. is 2-for-6, with one of those hits being a two-run homer.
Painter’s greatest weapon is his high-octane four-seam fastball, which he heavily relies on to retire opposing hitters, throwing his heater at 32% USG per BARTOLO.
Despite Painter throwing the four-seamer at such a high clip, opposing hitters are generating a .400 xwOBA.
Also, though the young righty is praised for his punchout prowess, Painter’s four-seamer has generated both a relatively low whiff rate (15 WHF%) and strikeout rate (11 K%).
Acuña has historically been one of the premier fastball hitters, using his explosive wrist action to turn around high-velocity offerings.
He also boasts elite plate discipline, evident through his .345 OBP on the season, and will gladly take a walk if Painter is missing his spots.
The Phillies’ right-hander has frequently fallen behind in counts all year long, resulting in his having to throw strikes in the zone, which could definitely prove fatal against a power-hitter like Acuña.
Picks:
- Braves -1.5 (+155, DraftKings)
- Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 HRR (-138, DraftKings)
- Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110, DraftKings)
