Twins vs. Astros MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Thursday’s Model Betting Edge Eyeing Minnesota Moneyline

Twins vs. Astros MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Thursday’s Model Betting Edge Eyeing Minnesota Moneyline article feature image
Credit:

Brace Hemmelgarn / Getty Images. Pictured: Jorge Polanco.

  • Our latest MLB PRO Report shows that all signs point to the value being offered on the Twins being more than worth a look.

Twins vs. Astros Odds

Twins Odds +205
Astros Odds -250
Over/Under 9.5
Time Thursday, 7:10 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet SW
Odds as of Thursday and via FanDuel NJ

The Minnesota Twins sit in last place in the AL Central, but you wouldn’t guess that by looking at their offensive marks. Minnesota sits just outside the top-10 in batting average, runs, and on-base percentage. The Twins actually possess a top-five slugging percentage despite their woeful overall record.

Houston continues their quest to get back to the World Series, sitting atop the AL West entering Thursday evening. The Astros offense has continued to hum along at peak efficiency as they currently lead the MLB in runs by a solid margin.
The Astros pitching has been excellent this season as well, but we have seen the staff get knocked around lately. Houston has given up at least five runs in three of their last four matchups—all losses—so they are hittable.

Minnesota shortstop Jorge Polanco has shown a burst of power this year with 18 home runs. Polanco went yard in Minnesota’s 6-5 loss on Wednesday, and he is a threat anytime the opposing pitching is having an off-night.

Our latest MLB PRO Report shows that all signs point to the value being offered on the Twins being more than worth a look.

MLB Picks: Twins vs. Astros

Sharp Action

The odds for Thursday’s Twin-Astros game opened at Twins +195 and peaked at Twins +235 around 7 a.m. ET before steam drove this line down to a consensus of +205 (tracked by two Action Labs Bet Signals).

Big Money 

At the time of this writing, the 20% of bettors backing the Twins have generated 31% of the money wagered on Thursday’s game.

PRO Systems

Thursday’s matchup in Houston fits into our “Contrarian Betting Against Good Team PRO System,” which has a 42% win rate and a 12% Return On Investment (ROI).

Top Experts

Two of The Action Network’s top MLB experts are betting on Minnesota.

PRO Report Pick: Twins +202 (+205 at FanDuel)

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