NBA Best Bets Today | 5 Expert Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 14

The NBA season rolls on Wednesday with a massive 13-game slate.

While some people may be focused on Valentine's Day, there are actually few things more romantic than betting on a loaded evening in the Association.

Luckily, our staff came through with five best bets for Wednesday's slate. Whether you're looking for spreads, totals or player props, we have you covered.

Check out all five of our best bets for Wednesday's NBA games below.

In Q1 2024, North Carolina sports betting fans will be able to bet the NBA at NC legal sportsbooks. Get the latest news.

NBA Best Bets for Wednesday, Feb. 14

By Andrew O'Connor-Watts

I was on the Magic yesterday, and they didn't come through. But I think that bodes well for a motivation spot Wednesday against a struggling Knicks team that's reeling off their third-straight loss.

The Knicks lost a contentious game to the Rockets on Monday after a controversial foul call on Jalen Brunson sent Aaron Holiday to the line for three shots to seal the game for Houston.

The Knicks appealed the decision, which could be seen as a reason for a motivation spot for New York, but I see the appeal as more of a distraction than a motivator. It could mean it's focused more on the past than the future.

Outside of yesterday's game, the Magic have played well of late.

Tuesday's loss is just their second in the last nine games. Orlando is on a back-to-back, but it'll be at home in both contests, and I think the mounting injuries for the Knicks are more concerning than two days of games in a row.

Donte DiVincenzo and Isaiah Hartenstein are both questionable and with them out, it could be a long night for the Knicks. Even if they play, I like the Magic down to -3.5 for one unit. Reduce risk to -4.5.

Pick: Magic -2.5

By Joe Dellera

Deni Avdija has been on fire lately, playing 30-plus minutes in his last three games while scoring at least 21 in four of his last five games.

However, this matchup against the Pelicans is significantly more difficult than his other recent ones. He should see plenty of minutes matched up with Trey Murphy and Herb Jones.

With greater usage often comes more turnovers, and this has been the case with Avdija.

He's averaging two assists per game on the season, but over his last 10, he's averaging 3.1 while exceeding this 2.5 line in seven games — three straight — with back-to-back games with five turnovers.

Against a tougher Pelicans team, I like him to once again exceed 2.5 turnovers even if he does continue to produce offensively.

Pick: Deni Avdija Over 2.5 Turnovers

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By Bryan Fonseca

Devin Vassell has gone over 19.5 points in 10 of his last 13 games on about 50/40/80. This was an auto-over until a few games ago, but Vassell has still been in a great rhythm and plays a soft defense in Dallas.

He has asserted himself and taken over as the Spurs' second option this season over Keldon Johnson.

He's averaged 22.7 points per game since Jan. 20, and in that same span, he's nearing 17 field-goal attempts and seven 3-point attempts per contest, along with about four free-throw attempts per game.

Pick: Devin Vassell Over 19.5 Points (-115)

By Chris Baker

The total is off when you factor in Kawhi Leonard's absence for the Clippers.

Leonard has been elite all season offensively, but a lot of his impact has come on the defensive end, where he leads his team with a -9.8 defensive rating swing. Essentially the Clippers are 10 points better per 100 possessions when he's on the floor.

With Kawhi out, I expect their overall defensive efficiency to plummet, but I also expect their pace to increase with more minutes for Russell Westbrook and Norman Powell.

Powell and Russ like to play in transition and attack the rim, so this could lend itself to an uptempo game.

The Warriors will also have to contend with the size of Ivica Zubac on the glass since they've been playing small ball with Draymond Green at the five of late.

The Warriors' pace has continued to trend up since Green’s return, and I expect Steph Curry to have no issues exploiting this weak Clipper defense.

Outside of Terance Mann, the Clippers have nobody who can hang with Steph. I think this should be closer to 236, so I'm comfortable playing the over at 234.

Pick: Over 233.5

By Joe Dellera

The Warriors host the Clippers in what should be a thrilling Western Conference matchup even without Kawhi Leonard.
One player that I’m targeting is Stephen Curry.

The one problem for Curry in this matchup is that the Clippers are targeting him as well and have schemed against him well. They throw doubles and try to trap him in an "anyone but him" type of defensive scheme.

As a result, he has thrived as a passer.

Curry's assists prop is set at 5.5 today, a number he has exceeded in 48% of games this season. However, in these head-to-head matchups, he has cleared it in four of his five games over the last two seasons.

The one miss was the most recent in which he had four assists on seven potentials, but that was the one game with Chris Paul. Prior to that matchup, Curry had averaged 8.5 assists on 14.3 potentials per game against the Clippers with 11, eight, six and nine dimes across the last two seasons.

I like him to exceed 5.5 assists and would play alternates of 8+ (+360 at FanDuel) and 10+ (+1000 at FanDuel), as both are worth sprinkles.

Pick: Steph Curry Over 5.5 Assists

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