Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Friday: Will James Harden Grab 7 Rebounds?

Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Friday: Will James Harden Grab 7 Rebounds? article feature image
Credit:

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Rockets guard James Harden (13).

  • Chris Raybon sees value on one NBA player prop in particular for Friday night.
  • He breaks down how he is betting the over/under on Rockets SG James Harden's rebound prop.

The player prop highlighted below is from the lone NBA playoff game on Friday night:

  • Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets: 9 p.m. ET (ESPN)

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 6 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Rockets SG James Harden

THE PICK: Over 6.5 Rebounds (-140)

Harden averaged 6.9 rebounds in 37.9 minutes per game at home during the regular season and is averaging 40.4 in this series — and that’s factoring in the time he missed from getting poked in the eye in Game 2. Our NBA Player Models are projecting 8.7 rebounds in 41.4 minutes for Harden tonight, earning it a bet quality rating of 10 in our props tool (59% win rate this season).

Harden has pulled down seven or more boards in four of his five postseason home games, and the absence of a scorer like Kevin Durant for the Warriors only increases the likelihood of Harden making it five games.

Overall this season, he’s been over 6.5 in 25-of-44 (56.8%) home games, and after adjusting for his minutes increase, this prop should have value up to -150.

I usually throw a few more prop picks in the Action Network App throughout the night as I do more research and lineup news trickles in, so be sure to follow me on there if you aren’t already.