Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Monday: Kevin Huerter Over/Under 11.5 Points?
Chris Nicoll-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Atlanta Hawks guard Kevin Huerter (3, left) and head coach Lloyd Pierce (right)
- Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Monday's slate.
- Props include point totals for Hawks SG Kevin Huerter and Lakers SG Reggie Bullock.
Monday’s NBA player props come from the following two games:
- Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat: 7:30 p.m. ET on FS-SE
- Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers: 10:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 5 p.m. ET. View live odds here.
Hawks SG Kevin Huerter
The Pick: Under 11.5 Points (-115)
Huerter (back) was limited to 23 minutes yesterday and could have his playing time capped again on the second night of a back-to-back. Even if the 6-foot-7, 190-pound rookie out of Maryland isn’t limited, he’s averaging 10.8 points in 30.2 minutes as a starter.
The Hawks may be shorthanded tonight in Miami, but Huerter actually sees a slight dip in usage rate (-0.2%) and points per 36 minutes (-1.1) with Taurean Prince (out, personal) and John Collins (doubtful, illness) off the floor (per our NBA On/Off tool).
Huerter scored 15 points last Friday and 12 points Sunday but has never cleared 11.5 in three straight in his young career, going under 11.5 in 17 of 42 starts (59.5%).
At 11.5 (-115), the tool rates this prop ‘s Bet Quality as a 10/10, and points props rated as such have produced a 61% win rate (119-70-5) since the start of the season, so there should be some cushion even if the juice increases or the line drops.