Sunday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Back Stars Jayson Tatum & Luka Doncic in Game 7 (May 15)
Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Luka Doncic (Mavericks)
- There are an exciting pair of NBA Game 7s on today.
- Our expert is backing superstars Jayson Tatum and Luka Doncic to come up big with his PrizePicks selections.
- Tyler Schmidt breaks down his picks below.
Player props are among the most popular bets in the industry, but as the amount of states with legalized gambling grows, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Sunday’s slate in the NBA Playoffs.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
NBA PrizePicks Parlay
Jayson Tatum Over 48 Fantasy Points
Jayson Tatum single handily pushed this series to a Game 7 with a fantastic Game 6 performance. Tatum scored 46 points, including seven 3-pointers, and also had nine rebounds and four assists while shooting 53.1% from the field.
Over the past two games Tatum has been very aggressive in trying to will the Celtics to the Eastern Conference Finals. Tatum has had a 40.8% usage rate while attempting an average of 30.5 field goals per game, which makes this a strong prop.
With the Prize Picks lines being so close to the actual sportsbook lines in this series, finding value can be very difficult. However, this still seems low as Tatum has gone over this prop line in four of his past five games.
Being five-point home favorites implied to score 105.75 points, the Celtics seem to be in a great spot. However, they have lost two home games in this series, so you can almost throw home-court advantage out the window.
At the end of the day, Tatum is going to be extremely aggressive and it is hard to see him coming up short at home with so much on the line. Lock in this valuable prop before it rises closer to 50 fantasy points.
Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points
Let’s back another superstar, Luka Doncic, in the second Game 7 of the afternoon. This line on DraftKings sportsbook is 34.5 points with the over being the heavy favorite at -120. That is about as good of a value as you can find with either game on Sunday’s slate.
PrizePicks also has this Doncic prop as basically a free pick at 0.5 points with the maximum you can have as $25. Regardless of which way you use this prop Doncic will be the main focal point of the Mavericks offense in Game 7.
Doncic has scored 33 or more points in half of the games in this series despite shooting 45.8% from the field and 29.8% from behind the arc. Over the past four games Doncic has shot just 7-of-33 from downtown. However, Dallas won three of those four.
Not only did Doncic lead the league in usage rate, but he has also led the postseason as well at 40.8%. The Maverick role players have stepped up when needed, but this is the Doncic show and it will be once again in Game 7.
Similar to Tatum, it is hard to see Doncic not getting the over on this prop due to how aggressive he will have to be in order for the Mavericks to pull off the road upset. This PrizePicks line seems too low compared to the sportsbooks.
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