NBA PrizePicks Player Prop Picks: Parlay Luka Doncic & Draymond Green in Mavericks vs. Warriors Game 5 (May 26)

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Here’s how I would approach Thursday’s Game 5 of the NBA’s Western Conference Finals.

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Luka Doncic Under 8 Assists

If you think the Mavs pull out another win and keep their series alive, then this may not be the play for you. But if you expect the Warriors to finish the job, get the win and head to the NBA Finals, then this is your play.

Luka Doncic has played in seven Mavs losses this postseason and he hasn't gone over eight assists in any of them. He's under that number in 5-of-7 and pushed the other two teams. In fact, he's only gone over eight assists three times in the playoffs.

It's not even necessarily Doncic's fault. Remember, assists take two players. Doncic is always going to get his, but he can't control whether his teammates hit the barrage of 3s they take every game.

When Dallas doesn't make its shots, the Mavs lose — and Doncic doesn't get his assists. He's averaging only 5.1 APG in Mavericks losses this postseason.

Draymond Green Under 6 Assists

Draymond Green is the heart and soul of the Warriors and certainly one of their most important players, but other Golden State players have made a big impact this series.

Kevon Looney has dominated the glass and filled up the box score and Andrew Wiggins has been a two-way star, defending Luka Doncic on one end and and giving him all he can handle at the other.

All of that has left Green's numbers a bit muted, even in victory. Green's rebounding and assist numbers are both down this series as he's averaging only 4.8 APG and hasn't gone over six assists in any game. He's gone under thrice and pushed this line once.

At 10.3 Potential Assists per game, this line is a bit too high. Green has yet to go over six assists in any of his five games against Dallas all season. Why start now?

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