Philadelphia 76ers 2021 NBA Win Total Odds & Pick: Can’t Trust the Process

Philadelphia 76ers 2021 NBA Win Total Odds & Pick: Can’t Trust the Process article feature image
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Photo credit: Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid

Check out this post for updated season win total and this post for my other 29 season win total picks.

76ers Win Total Odds

Best Line
82-Game Projection
Over: 42.5 (FanDuel) [Bet Now]
49 Wins
Under: 44.5 (PointsBet) [Bet Now]
51 Wins

The Case for the Over

It’s time. No, really, this time it’s different.

No, for real, stop laughing.

They have spacing now! The 76ers added Danny Green and Seth Curry. Those shooters are going to open everything up for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.

Daryl Morey is running the front office so the whole vibe of the team will be better. They’ll be smarter.

Doc Rivers is a really good coach, despite playing Montrezl Harrell too much and Kawhi Leonard being unable to lead anyone out of a cardboard box.

They finished the bubble on pace for 48 wins per 82 games. Are they really going to be worse than last season, where they finished without Ben Simmons for the bubble and a stretch in-season?

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The Case for the Under

How many times are we going to do this?

Every year is the year the Sixers make “the leap.”

Every year!

People have talked themselves into this team time and time again. Everyone has a year where they do it. Mine was last year. Had an Embiid MVP ticket and a Sixers East winner ticket (alongside a Bucks one, never again, Bucks).

Here’s the problem: We keep blaming everything around Embiid while he continues to be unable to beat a double-team. The talk last year was spacing but Josh Richardson is a career 36% 3-point shooter who shot 37% before landing in Philly, and Al Horford had become a floor spacer, again, before he landed in Philly.

But it’s always someone else’s fault.

I’m as high on Ben Simmons as anyone at this point. I did a deep dive last year and he’s phenomenal. I don’t care that he can’t shoot, that’s how good he is at everything else. Ev-ery-thing.

But they downgraded on defense. Seth Curry is a non-factor and Green is 33 years old; there was some slippage last year with the Lakers.

Win totals were 5-2 to the under when Doc Rivers was with the Clippers and 5-4 with the Celtics.

This team has constantly failed expectations. Adding two role guys, a new GM and a good coach who’s not exactly analytics-forward is going to get them to top tier?

Philadelphia 76ers Win Total Bet

It’s a pass for me.

Daryl Morey’s spectacular record vs. Doc Rivers’ solid-and-good-but-ultimately-rarely-exceptional record. How much I believe Ben Simmons is DPOY quality and sleeper MVP potential vs. my complete and abject lack of faith in Embiid.

I understand why everyone’s buying in. I just think they’re buying in because eventually, everyone buys in for a year, gets burned and comes to the same conclusion.

Never Trust The Process.

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