The Tennessee Volunteers take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in college baseball's 2026 SEC Tournament at 5:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 20. The game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.
Arkansas enters as a favorite of -130 on the moneyline and is -1.5 (+140) on the run line. Tennessee, meanwhile, enters as a +130 underdog and is +1.5 (-180) on the run line. The over/under sits at 11.5 total runs (-110o / -120u).
The winner of this game will move on in the SEC Tournament bracket to play the Texas Longhorns.
Let's dive into my Tennessee vs Arkansas prediction and NCAA baseball picks for Wednesday, May 20.
Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction
- Tennessee vs Arkansas Pick: Arkansas ML -130
My Arkansas vs. Tennessee best bet is on the Razorbacks to win the game outright.
Tennessee vs Arkansas Odds
| Tennessee Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -180 | 11.5 -110o / -120u | +100 |
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 11.5 -110o / -120u | -130 |
Tennessee vs Arkansas Pick, Betting Analysis
Arkansas pitcher Tate McGuire takes the mound for his sixth start of the season against a Tennessee team coming off an 11-6 win over South Carolina.
He looks to fare better than the Gamecocks, who surrendered eight runs, but only five earned, by the fourth inning. McGuire likely just gets things warmed up, as he hasn’t completed four innings of work since February.
Though just the No. 7 seed in the SEC Tournament, Arkansas has been a profitable bet over the last month. The Hogs haven’t lost a series since April 18 despite erratic pitching.
Tennessee’s pitching has been terrific this year, ranking 14th in xFIP (4.92), but the bats haven’t always been there; the Vols’ weekend starters are just a combined 16-11 despite putting up really solid numbers.
Lefty Evan Blanco gets the start for Game 2. Blanco has held opponents to a .221 average and struck out 94 hitters in 79 innings.
He's susceptible to some stinkers (six earned runs vs. Kentucky and nine runs allowed at Vanderbilt), but Blanco’s best stuff is among the most dynamic in the country.
With two talented (if not inconsistent) pitchers on the mound, I’ll lean on the hotter bats, which are with Arkansas. The winner of this game advances to face Texas.
Pick: Arkansas ML -130
