Gaels vs. Huskies Odds & Betting Predictions - March 19, 2023
Gaels at Huskies
10:10 pm • TNTGaels at Huskies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gaels 28-5 | +3.5-105 | o125.5-110 | +155 | |
 Huskies 23-10 | -3.5-115 | u125.5-110 | -185 | |
MVP ArenaAlbany
Gaels vs. Huskies Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 63-65-1 (-11.6u)
CONN -4-108
2u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CONN +2.5 (Live)-113
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
CONN -110 (Live)
1u
they aint losing
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CONN -1.5 (1H)-114
0.57u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 41-33-3 (+7.5u)
SMC +4-105
2.1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 15-48-0 (-7.1u)
A.Sanogo u7.5 Rebs+105
1u
DK/BetMGM: Sanogo has grabbed 8.3 boards/game over his last 16, but that was at 66.8 possessions per game. This game proejcts for 62 possessions, meaning that 8.3 becomes 7.7. However, that's against the schedule Sanogo has faced in those 16 games. St. Mary's is the 2nd best rebounding team in the nation when we look at adjusted offensive and defensive combined, in large part thanks to Saxen and Bowen. That bumps Sanogo's projection down to 6.3 for us. Love getting plus money on this under.
A.Ducas u1.5 Ast-120
1u
BetMGM: UConn's disruptive defense makes getting assists on them incredibly difficult. They force turnovers at a slightly higher rate than average and they grab offensive boards at a higher rate than average to prevent 2nd chance assists opportunities. But the real value is in the next two of the four factors. They foul A LOT (45th highest foul rate in nation of 363 teams) meaning more possessions end at the FT line without an assist. They also are 11th in eFG% defense, meaning more shots are missed. When shots do go in, they allow the 12th lowest assist rate nationally at 41% compared to 51% average. This is also a bit of a tempo-down game as UConn is slower than the average pace. Projecting Ducas for 1.0 assist with a 72% chance of staying under in 39 minutes of playing time.
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 101-153-4 (-11.6u)
CONN -175
0.57u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 230-246-5 (-1.5u)
SMC +4.5-112
1.12u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 88-80-5 (+5.9u)
SMC +4.5-112
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 77-93-2 (+9.2u)
CONN -4.5-107
1u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Ducas u1.5 Ast-122
1u
Projection - 0.8: For more, check out BettingPros.
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
L.Johnson u16.5 Pts-120
1u
He tore up the WCC (17.7 ppg), but this is UConn (17th best defense in the country). He relies on getting to the rim (141 of his 176 made baskets are in the paint), and UConn is elite at protecting the paint (roughly a 52% eFG% is well below the nat’l average). His jumper is iffy (only 2 mid range jumpers all season - that’s where you can beat UConn). And the athleticism of UConn’s wings should keep him at bay. Struggled vs VCU (12 pts on only 7 FGA in 40 mins) - expecting the same vs UConn.
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.4u)
CONN -3.5-110
$100.00
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
CONN -3.5-110
1u
Gaels vs. Huskies Previews & Analysis
Gaels vs. Huskies Notes
Bracket Predictions
Halfway through the Second Round, Connecticut is the second most likely No. 4 seed to make the Final Four, with 20.0% odds (breakeven moneyline +400).
Our tournament ratings give Connecticut 63.2% odds to win this game and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 4 seeds like Connecticut are 18-19 against No. 5 seeds like Saint Mary's in the Second Round (48.6% win rate, breakeven moneyline +106).
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Gaels vs. Huskies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Huskies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Huskies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Huskies are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Huskies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Huskies' 19 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Huskies vs. Gaels Injury Updates
Huskies Injuries
- Liam McNeeleyF
McNeeley is probable with ankle
Probable
Gaels Injuries
Team Stats
Gaels vs. Huskies Odds Comparison
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Gaels at Huskies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Gaels 28-5 | N/A | N/A |
Huskies 23-10 | N/A | N/A |