2019 Gasparilla Bowl Odds: Marshall vs. UCF Spread, Over/Under & Our Projections

Gasparilla Bowl Odds: Marshall vs. UCF

• Odds: UCF -17.5
• Over/Under: 59
• Date: Monday, Dec. 23, 2019
• Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Tampa, Fla.

Odds as of Sunday afternoon. Get live college football odds here.

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Marshall Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

• Season Record: 8-4
• Against-the-Spread Record: 4-8
• Conference: Conference USA
• Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 68
• Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 45
• S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 48

Analysis: When talking Marshall bowl games, you have to start with coach Doc Holliday. He’s 6-0 against the spread and straight-up in the postseason, covering by an average of 11 points per game. As for the team this year, the Herd rely on their usual formula — a solid defense and a good running game. They do lack explosiveness in the passing game, which isn’t anything new for this program. — Steve Petrella

All stats are regular season only

UCF Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

• Season Record: 9-3
• Against-the-Spread Record: 5-7
• Conference: AAC
• Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 10
• Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 8
• S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 66

Analysis: Is it possible that this UCF team was better than either team the last two years, despite finishing 9-3? It certainly is possible. The Golden Knights finished the regular season No. 15 in SP+, up from 18th a season ago (when they went unbeaten). They were also No. 18 in our power ratings, up almost 20 spots from last year. UCF was one of the unluckiest teams in the country, finishing with -1.2 second order wins and losing -3 net close games. The offense was excellent under new quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who averaged 9.1 yards per attempt with a 27/7 TD/INT ratio. — Steve Petrella

All stats are regular season only

Gasparilla Bowl Projections & Picks

• Our projected spread: UCF -19
• Our projected over/under: 59.79