2020 Heisman Odds Tracker: Justin Fields Joins Trevor Lawrence as Top Front-Runner


Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Fields.

Sep 22, 2020, 10:30 PM EDT

2020 Heisman Odds

Player Odds (9/21)
Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State +250 [Bet Now]
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson +250 [Bet Now]
Spencer Rattler, QB, Oklahoma +600 [Bet Now]
Sam Ehlinger, QB, Texas +1000 [Bet Now]
Kyle Trask, QB, Florida +1800 [Bet Now]
D’Eriq King, QB, Miami +2000 [Bet Now]
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama +2000 [Bet Now]
JT Daniels, QB, Georgia +2000 [Bet Now]
Mac Jones, QB, Alabama +2000 [Bet Now]
Myles Brennan, QB, LSU +2000 [Bet Now]
Bryce Young, QB, Alabama +2200 [Bet Now]
Najee Harris, RB, Alabama +2200 [Bet Now]
Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson +2500 [Bet Now]
Trey Sermon, RB, Oklahoma +2500 [Bet Now]
Kellen Mond, QB, Texas A&M +2700 [Bet Now]
Bo Nix, QB, Auburn +3300 [Bet Now]
DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama +3300 [Bet Now]
KJ Costello, QB, Mississippi State +3300 [Bet Now]
Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina +3300 [Bet Now]
D’Wan Mathis, QB, Georgia +4000 [Bet Now]
Chuba Hubbard, RB, Oklahoma State +5000 [Bet Now]
Ian Book, QB, Notre Dame +5000 [Bet Now]
Kylin Hill, RB, Mississippi State +5000 [Bet Now]
Sean Clifford, QB, Penn State +5000 [Bet Now]
Adrian Martinez, QB, Nebraska +8000 [Bet Now]
Jack Coan, QB, Wisconsin +8000 [Bet Now]
Micale Cunningham, QB, Louisville +8000 [Bet Now]
Tanner Morgan, QB, Minnesota +8000 [Bet Now]
Zamir White, RB, Georgia +8000 [Bet Now]
Derek Stingley, CB, LSU +10000 [Bet Now]
Tylan Wallace, WR, Oklahoma State +10000 [Bet Now]
Jarrett Guarantano, QB, Tennessee +15000 [Bet Now]
John Rhys Plumlee, QB, Ole Miss +15000 [Bet Now]
Spencer Sanders, QB, Oklahoma State +15000 [Bet Now]
Brock Purdy, QB, Iowa State +20000 [Bet Now]
Charlie Brewer, QB, Baylor +20000 [Bet Now]
JD Spielman, WR, TCU +20000 [Bet Now]
Kadarius Toney, ATH, Florida +20000 [Bet Now]
Pooka Williams Jr., RB, Kansas +20000 [Bet Now]
Seth Williams, WR, Auburn +20000 [Bet Now]
Stetson Bennett, QB, Georgia +20000 [Bet Now]
Feleipe Franks, QB, Arkansas +25000 [Bet Now]
Javian Hawkins, RB, Louisville +25000 [Bet Now]
Racey McMath, WR, LSU +25000 [Bet Now]
Brady White, QB, Memphis +35000 [Bet Now]
Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss +35000 [Bet Now]
Sam Hartman, QB, Wake Forest +50000 [Bet Now]
Brian Maurer, QB, Tennessee +100000 [Bet Now]

Above are updated Heisman Trophy odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.

For those new to sports betting, +200 odds mean a $100 bet would win $200 (in addition to the $100 risked).

Last updated September 21.

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September 21 update

The Big Ten’s decision to return to play has resulted in sweeping changes across the Heisman Trophy Winner futures oddsboard.

At the top of the board, Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence (+175 to +250), Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler (+400 to +600), Texas QB Sam Ehlinger (+600 to +1000) and Clemson running back Travis Etienne (+1400 to +2500) experienced a combined decline of 21.5% in their implied probability to win the Heisman Trophy.

That decline is directly attributable to the installation of Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+250), who joins Lawrence as the co-favorite to win the award. Among newly added Big Ten Players, Fields hold a commanding edge over Penn State QB Sean Clifford, Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez and Wisconsin QB Jack Coan, each of whom now slots in at +8000 (1.23% implied probability to win).

The other major development in the Heisman Trophy futures market is the ongoing QB battle at Georgia. For the majority of the offseason, Wake Forest transfer QB Jamie Newman was considered the overwhelming favorite to earn the starting job. Then on Sept. 2, Newman chose to opt out of the 2020 season to prepare for the NFL Draft.

Immediately, stock for USC transfer JT Daniels shot through the roof, climbing as high as +1000 as of Sept. 14. But since then, Daniels still has not been cleared for contact, and redshirt freshman D’Wan Mathis has earned extended opportunity practicing with the team’s first string.

Mathis’ impressive play has resulted in a full-blown QB battle in Athens, and speculation runs rampant that Mathis may earn the job outright. Subsequently, Daniels’ odds have fallen to +2000, while Mathis has risen to +4000 — even higher than established stars like Oklahoma State RB Chuba Hubbard (+5000). DraftKings sportsbook didn’t even list Mathis on its Heisman board as of one week ago.

September 14 update

Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence (+175) consolidated his position as the clear-cut favorite to win the Heisman Trophy following the Tigers’ 37-13 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. Lawrence went 22-for-28 passing for 351 yards and three total TD in just over two quarters of action.

Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler (+400) was one of the week’s biggest movers. He passed for 290 yards and four touchdowns, leading the Sooners to a 41-0 halftime lead over Missouri State before head coach Lincoln Riley pulled the Oklahoma starters. Rattler’s move from +700 to +400 represents a 7.5% increase in his implied probability to win the Heisman Trophy.

Lawrence and Rattler notwithstanding, no player did more to improve his Heisman candidacy than Texas QB Sam Ehlinger. He amassed 438 total yards and five touchdowns in the Longhorns’ 59-3 rout of UTEP on Saturday. His Heisman Trophy odds moved from +2500 to +600 — a staggering 10.44% increase in his implied probability to win.

In order to take home college football’s most esteemed individual award, Ehlinger and the Longhorns likely must win the Big 12 regular season, which indeed is no small task. Texas has looming dates against Oklahoma (neutral-site) on October 10 and must travel to Stillwater to play No. 11 Oklahoma State on October 31. Nonetheless, Ehlinger’s performance in Week 1 has placed him squarely in the Heisman Trophy conversation.

Here’s a quick rundown of the week’s other notable risers and fallers:

  • Miami QB D’Eriq King falls from +800 to +1800 (5.85% decrease in implied probability).
  • North Carolina QB Sam Howell falls from +2000 to +3300 (1.82% decrease in implied probability).
  • Notre Dame QB Ian Book falls from +2000 to +4000 (2.32% decrease in implied probability).
  • Louisville QB Micale Cunningham improves from +5000 to +3300 (0.96% increase in implied probability).
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