Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 1 Aftermath

Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 1 Aftermath article feature image

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee, a short look at College Football Projected Lines before release in Las Vegas or Offshore. This weekly column examines where the Point Spread should open or trend. Hangover, Overlook, and general Box Score notes from the Week's previous action will be captured to help any College Football investor get action on a number.

Here is a look at the Projected Point Spreads for Week 2:

DateAway HomeCW Line
Sep 8OhioPurduePUR -2
Sep 9Fresno St.AlabamaBAMA -46.5
Sep 9HoustonArizonaARIZ +1
Sep 9San Diego St.Arizona St.ASU +3
Sep 9TCUArkansasARK +1.5
Sep 9MiamiArkansas St.ARST +12
Sep 9BuffaloArmyARMY -11
Sep 9UABBall St.BALL -8.5
Sep 9UTSABaylorBAY -14.5
Sep 9Wake ForestBoston CollegeBC -4
Sep 9UtahBYUBYU -0.5
Sep 9AuburnClemsonCLEM -6.5
Sep 9Texas St.ColoradoCOLO -37
Sep 9NorthwesternDukeDUKE +3.5
Sep 9ULMFlorida St.FSU -39.5
Sep 9UNLVIdahoIDHO +3.5
Sep 9Western KentuckyIllinoisILL +11
Sep 9IowaIowa St.ISU +4
Sep 9Central MichiganKansasKU -1
Sep 9CharlotteKansas St.KSU -30
Sep 9Mississippi St.LA TechLT +1
Sep 9CincinnatiMichiganMICH -29.5
Sep 9Western MichiganMichigan St.MSU -11
Sep 9South CarolinaMissouriMIZZ -1
Sep 9TulaneNavyNAVY -9.5
Sep 9ToledoNevadaNEV +5
Sep 9New Mexico St.New MexicoUNM -7.5
Sep 9LouisvilleNorth CarolinaUNC +6.5
Sep 9MarshallNC StateNCST -22
Sep 9GeorgiaNotre DameND -3
Sep 9OklahomaOhio St.OSU -6
Sep 9NebraskaOregonORE -13
Sep 9MinnesotaOregon St.ORST +5
Sep 9PittsburghPenn St.PSU -18
Sep 9Eastern MichiganRutgersRUTG +2
Sep 9North TexasSMUSMU -6.5
Sep 9Oklahoma St.South AlabamaUSA +28
Sep 9Middle TennesseeSyracuseSYR -12
Sep 9San Jose St.TexasTEX -26
Sep 9ULLTulsaTLSA -13.5
Sep 9MemphisUCFUCF -2
Sep 9HawaiiUCLAUCLA -21.5
Sep 9South FloridaUConnCONN +19.5
Sep 9Old DominionUMassMASS +3
Sep 9StanfordUSCUSC -3
Sep 9RiceUTEPUTEP +1.5
Sep 9IndianaVirginiaUVA -3
Sep 9Boise St.Washington St.WSU -13.5
Sep 9East CarolinaWest VirginiaWVU -21.5
Sep 9Florida AtlanticWisconsinWISC -32
Legend: Coming off bye / Overlook watch / Back to Back road travel / Neutral site


Notes

  • These projections are good through Saturday, September 2nd. This article will be updated after VT/WVU, TAMU/UCLA, and GT/Tennessee

  • Baylor was destroyed in the air for 447 yards against future FBS member Liberty. Offensive Passing is not a strength of this UTSA team, who will have their first live game after having Houston canceled

  • Need a reason for a Boston College/Wake Forest Over? Wake had a few more snaps than last year's average, but Boston College went for 94 snaps against Northern Illinois after going for 67 a game in 2016.

  • Something has to give in the air for Clemson and Auburn. Both teams combined to give up 9 total passing yards in Week 1. Auburn kept Georgia Southern in check giving up zero 3rd Down conversions in 15 attempts.

  • ULM may have lost to Memphis by 8, but they won the yardage battle 425-416. FSU -39.5 is factored without the loss of Deondre Francois. A minimum of a 3 point adjustment will be made for True Freshman James Blackman if named the starter for this game.

  • The Governors of Austin Peay won the yardage total 313-248, but ultimately lost to Cincinnati going -2 in Net Turnovers. With Air Force on deck, Michigan should be able to dictate their number against former Ohio State Coordinator/Interim Head Coach Luke Fickell.

  • Western Michigan was gifted two Sam Darnold WR bobbles for Interceptions. WMU final score indicates a close game, but they gave up over 200 on the ground and was granted almost 100 yards in Trojan penalties. Meanwhile, Michigan State posted 215 on the ground (465 overall) against Bowling Green. Sparty's 25 point victory was a bit short due to 3 total turnovers in Week 1.

  • Marshall's yardage was almost doubled by Miami Ohio in a Week 1 victory. Meanwhile NC State actually more than doubled South Carolina's yardage in a loss to the Gamecocks. With Furman on deck, this may be a prime spot for the Wolfpack.

  • Vanderbilt put up almost 300 yards of passing in a victory over Middle Tennessee State. I would be shocked if Eric Dungey and the Syracuse Orange didn't put up at least 450 yards of passing against the Blue Raiders.

  • Southeastern Louisiana ran for 343 yards on Louisiana-Lafayette's Rush Defense, an average of 6.4 yards per rush. This is a prime spot for Tulsa's D'Angelo Brewer to get back on track, and for Corey Taylor to keep adding on to his rush totals.



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